Corinthians vs Independiente Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

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  • Corinthians Arena

odds when tipped

odds when tipped

Tip Reasoning

Thursday’s Copa Libertadores clash sees Brazilian champions Corinthians playing host to Argentines Independiente. The visitors desperately need a result, but it’s the home side who are expected to pick up the three points in front of their own fans.

Corinthians currently top Group 7 of the Libertadores, after picking up an impressive 7 points from their 3 games contested thus far. Another win in this fixture would see Timao all but secure their place in the knockout phase and that simply has to be the target coming into the game.

Fabio Carille’s troops have been a powerful force for well over a year now lifting the Campeonato Paulista and Serie A title last season and having retained the former this year. The hosts didn’t contest the Libertadores last season, but in their current condition look set to be amongst the contenders this year and confidence is certainly high in the camp having already defeat Independiente in Buenos Aires as well as winning 6 of their last 7 home games.

Meanwhile, coming into the competition as Copa Sudamericana champions and looking strong under Ariel Holan, Independiente were hopeful of a successful continental campaign. Nonetheless, things simply haven’t worked out that way for El Rojo, with defeats to the unfancied Deportivo Lara and Corinthians leaving them bottom of the group and in big trouble.

If the visitors could pick up a victory here then they’d move up into a qualification spot, but in their current state that isn’t something that really looks like happening. Independiente have been very inconsistent in recent weeks across all competitions, winning 3 and losing 4 of their last 7, leaving them in a fight for a Libertadores spot domestically and on the brink of elimination of the competition this year.

Ultimately, it’s very clear who arrives as favourites in this fixture and that’s the hosts. They have been unbelievably consistent over last season and the start of this, something which Independiente simply haven’t shown, particularly in the Libertadores.

Corinthians have turned their home into a real fortress, also winning 4 of their last 5 games as hosts in the Libertadores in addition to their current hot streak on their own patch. Up against an Independiente outfit that simply cannot find any kind of rhythm, we’re more than happy to back the hosts to pick up the win, with a 1-0 margin of victory looking to be on the cards.

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