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Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Published on 5:50pm GMT 5 March 2026

  • 15:00
  • 7
  • Pride Park
Derby
    Derby County

      Over 2.5 Match Goals

      Reason for tip

      Over 2.5 goals looks the best bet when Derby host Sheffield Wednesday. This fixture has produced goals regularly, with five of the last six meetings clearing the line, and Derby have seen four of their last six go over too. Derby are leaky at the back, which gives Wednesday a chance to contribute even if they lose.

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      Derby 2-1

      Reason for tip

      Derby 2-1 is the standout correct-score pick. Wednesday are in dreadful form and struggle away, but Derby rarely keep clean sheets, conceding in six of their last eight and nine of their last 11 home games. Derby also tend to win narrowly, with nine of their 14 league victories coming by a single goal, so a tight home win with goals at both ends fits.

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      Derby vs Derby County Predictions

      Goals expected at Pride Park

      Over 2.5 goals looks the bet when Derby host Sheffield Wednesday at Pride Park on Saturday – five of the last six Championship meetings between these sides have finished with over 2.5 goals, and four of Derby’s last six games have had three or more goals.

      Derby are eighth, 16 places and 58 points above bottom club Sheffield Wednesday, with 14 wins, nine draws and 12 defeats compared to Wednesday’s one win, eight draws and 26 losses.

      Derby have been in patchy form recently, with three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last six Championship games. Last weekend they were 3-1 winners over Blackburn in their last home game, but these are tough times for Sheffield Wednesday, with 17 of their last 20 matches ending in defeat. They have not won any of their last 14 away games.

      Derby beat Blackburn 3-1 last weekend to keep up their recent pattern of games with over 2.5 goals. Ben Brereton, Matt Clarke, and Rhian Brewster all found the net for Derby, who were priced as 11/10 favourites to win the game and triumphed with something to spare.

      Derby have looked vulnerable in defence, failing to keep a clean sheet in six of their last eight Championship games. They have conceded in nine of their last 11 home matches, with their last clean sheet coming against Swansea last month.

      They may be able to edge out Sheffield Wednesday in a close game, with a 2-1 home win the correct-score pick. Both teams have scored in seven of the last nine Championship meetings between these sides, and nine of Derby’s 14 wins this season were by a single goal.


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