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Derby vs Burton Albion Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

  • 19:45
  • Expired
  • Pride Park
Burton Albion

Tip Reasoning

Derby have gone full circle this season. They started off as a side that was defending well but completely inept in front of goal. Now they look a side with plenty of goals in them but one that has become much easier to break down. The recent slump in form will give Burton a bit of hope here as they look to put some distance between themselves and the bottom three. Judging by recent Derby home games at least, we should expect goals here.

The Rams have scored 3 times in each of their last 3 outings at Pride Park. Good enough for maximum points you’d have thought, given how well they’d been defending but they only won one of those matches, which produced 18 goals in total. A big reason for the increase in Derby’s attacking threat has been the form of Darren Bent. The former England international has bagged 8 goals in his last 8 outings, including braces in Derby’s last two home games. He has always been something of a confidence player and on current form backing Bent to score anytime at 6/4 looks to offer great value.

Burton have conceded 1.88 goals per game on their travels and have only taken 0.69 points per game away, which strongly suggests this Derby side will have plenty of joy in the final third. However, with the Rams looking vulnerable all of a sudden, Burton should also cause a few problems of their own. They’ve won 3 of their last 5 league games, which is a huge boost at a time when it looked like they may just be sinking into serious relegation trouble. A 2-1 win over play-off hopefuls Norwich on Saturday will ensure they approach this with confidence and they’ll also take heart from having won their first ever league game against local rivals Derby earlier in the season.

An away win would still be a huge shock here but if Derby defend like they have been doing in recent home games, there will be a goal or two in this for the visitors and backing Over 2.5 goals at 11/10 looks to offer real value.

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