Desportivo Aves vs Pacos Ferreira Predictions

• 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two clubs have produced a winner.
• Aves have only drawn 1 of their last 6 matches.
• Pacos Ferreira have only drawn 1 of their last 6 matches.
• Aves have won 3 and lost 8 at home while Pacos Ferreira have lost 7, won 1, and drawn 2 on the road.

The hosts are yet to play out a stalemate in their own backyard

Aves lost 2-0 at home to Vitoria Guimaraes last time out while Pacos Ferreira won 2-1 in their own backyard against newly-promoted Famalicao, meaning Sunday’s visitors now sit 6pts clear of Aves and have moved out of the relegation zone. However, Aves head into this weekends’ clash as the form favourites with two wins, one draw, and three defeats from their last six outings and know they really need to win games against the sides in and around them to stand any chance of escaping the dreaded drop out of the Primeira Liga.

Both teams have only drawn one of their last six matches, meaning the rest of their results have produced wins and defeats, and only two of their last six encounters against one another have ended in stalemates, so you can see why we have backed a double chance bet on the home or away win this weekend.

Aves have played eleven games at home this season, winning three and losing eight, while Pacos Ferreira have lost seven and won one of their ten away games in the Primeira Liga, only drawing twice on the road. Aves average 0.82 points per home game while Pacos Ferriera average 0.50 points per away game, suggesting that the hosts are the more likely side to win on Sunday.

Pacos Ferreira tend to lose when playing away from home

The hosts score an average of 0.91 goals per home game while their guests score an average of 0.50 goals per away game, which is why we have backed a final scoreline of 1-0 in Aves’ favour this weekend. 55% of Aves’ home matches and 60% of Pacos Ferreira’s away trips have produced under 2.5 goals this season, adding further weight to our prediction for a low-scoring ninety minutes on Sunday.

Both teams have scored in just 27% of Aves’ home games and 30% of Pacos Ferreira’s away trips, which strengthens our prediction for a 1-0 final score this weekend. Aves have kept clean sheets in 18% of their home games so far this season and Pacos Ferreira have failed to score in a whopping 60% of their away games, with exactly 1-goal being scored in 45% of the hosts’ home matches and 30% of the visitors’ trips on the road.

We’re confident that a double chance bet on a home or away win is the best way to go this weekend and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0 in favour of Aves. The hosts edge the form guide and have the home advantage against a Pacos Ferreira side that have lost seven times on the road and have only won once, but Aves have also lost eight of their home games which is why we believe this game could go either way.