Famalicao vs Tondela Predictions

• Famalicao have defied the odds so far this season and will remain third in the Primeira Liga no matter how this weekends’ results pan out.
• Tondela have been average so far this season but with three defeats in their last four league games, the visitors are sliding down the table.
• Part of Famalicao’s success this season has been their home form which has seen the club remain unbeaten in front of their own fans.
• Tondela have performed much better on the road than they have in their own backyard this season.

Home advantage could prove key to Saturday result

The only previous meeting between these two clubs arrived back in 2016 where the hosts Famalicao beat Tondela 1-0 in a pre-season friendly. Famalicao are unbeaten at home this season, winning four and drawing one of their five matches, while Tondela have lost four of their last six matches in all competitions but have only lost once away from home in the league. Each of Tondela’s last four defeats have seen them fail to score, the last three of which all ended 1-0, so you can see why we have backed a 1-0 win for the hosts this weekend.

Famalicao average 2.60 points per home game and Tondela average 1.83 points per away game, and it is this excellent record in their own backyard that adds further weight to our prediction for a Famalicao victory on Saturday. Famalicao have an 80% win ratio at home.
Tondela concede an average of 0/83 goals per away game which is below the league average of 1.44 and have scored first in four of their five home games, so if the hosts score first on Saturday you would expect them to go on and win the game.

The visitors’ away form suggests Saturday’s game will be closely fought

Famalicao have scored 13 goals at home this season and have kept clean sheets in 20% of their home games, while Tondela have failed to score in 50% of their away games. 20% of Famalicao’s home games have produced exactly one goal and 33% of Tondela’s away games have produced exactly one goal, providing more reasons to back a 1-0 home win this weekend.

Four of Famailcao’s wins this season have been via a one-goal margin and four of Tondela’s defeats have also been by the odd goal which is a majority for both clubs and provides the basis for our prediction of a narrow home win this Saturday.

We’re confident that Famalicao will win on Saturday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0. Tondela have been impressive on the road this season but Famalicao are yet to lose in their own backyard and head into the game as the form favourites. The visitor’s form has turned in recent weeks and they now appear to be dropping back down the table, making it difficult to imagine anything but a home win this weekend.