Frosinone vs Spezia Predictions

• Frosinone had the third-worst post-restart record in Serie B
• The hosts lost as many games at home after the restart (W1 D2 L2) as they did before (W9 D3 L2)
• Spezia have lost just two of their last eight games

Frosinone have home advantage in the first leg of the promotion playoff final, but that may actually prove to be a disadvantage. The hosts finished the season with one of the league’s best home records, but look a little closer and they actually limped over the line.

Since the restart, only Juve Stabia and Livorno – the league’s bottom two – picked up fewer points than Frosinone. They won once in 11 matches, denting their good form at home. Having won nine and lost just two of their first 14 home league games, they then won just one of five after the restart. Whether it’s fans or fitness, something is up with Frosinone.

Even their playoff clashes so far brought a home loss to Pordenone, in between two away successes. With Spezia losing just twice in their last eight league games, we are backing the visitors on the Double Chance market. We’re also expecting this to be a close, nervy game given what is on offer – a 1-1 draw is our correct score prediction.