Gil Vicente vs Belenenses Predictions

• Gil Vicente head into Sunday’s match against Belenenses as the form favourites (2W/2D/2D from last 6 matches).
• The hosts remain unbeaten at home this season (played 8 times)
• Belenenses have lost half of their away games in the Primeira Liga this season (4).
• The visitors have failed to score in half of their away games so far (4).

Nobody has beaten Gil Vicente at home so far this season

Gil Vicente returned from the winter break to claim a point away at Tondela last weekend while the Belenenses players were clearly still on their holidays as Braga strolled into town and secured a 7-1 victory. A response will be expected from the visitors on Sunday but they are going up against a Gil Vicente side that are yet to lose at home since being reinstated as a Primeira Liga side in the summer.

The last five meetings between these two clubs have failed to see both teams score, with under 2.5 goals being produced on each occasion. Gil Vicente are the form favourites heading into this weekends’ clash and sit 3pts and four places above Belenenses in the Primeira Liga table. Belenenses have lost 4 of their 8 away games in the league so far this season and average just 1.00 points per away game which is below the league average of 1.18, while Gil Vicente average 1.75 points per home game.

The hosts score an average of 1.38 goals per home game which is a little below the league average of 1.41 but they only concede an average of 0.75 goals in their own backyard and the league average is 1.05 goals. Couple that with the fact that Belenenses only average 0.75 goals per away game and you can see just why we have backed a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente on Sunday.

Belenenses will be hoping for a response from their players following a heavy defeat

Only 38% of the hosts’ home games this season have produced over 2.5 goals and only 38% of Belenenses’ away games have seen both teams score, which provides further reason to back a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente this weekend. Gil Vicente have only scored 11 goals at home this season but they have only conceded 6 goals during that period while Belenenses have only netted 6 times on the road and have conceded 13 goals.

Gil Vicente have kept clean sheets in 38% of their home games in the league and Belenenses have lost-to-nil in 25% of their away matches, with the hosts obtaining as many 1-goal margin wins as wins with a margin of 2 goals or more (2 of each), which suggests that there is a good chance the scoreline will end 1-0 on Sunday.

We’re confident that Gil Vicente will win on Sunday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0. The visitors arrive on the back of a real hammering at the hands of Braga, who themselves have not been at their best this season, so confidence is bound to be fragile, to say the least, while the hosts are unbeaten in their own backyard and will believe they should win Sunday’s match.