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Lugo vs Almeria Predictions

  • 20:00
  • Expired
  • Estadio Anxo Carro
Lugo
Almeria

Almeria to Win

23/20odds when tipped
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Almeria 1-0

6/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Lugo have just a 30% win-rate in La Liga 2 games this season.
  • Almeria picked up a league-high 19 away points.
  • Almeria haven’t conceded across the last 185 minutes of away H2H play.

Plucky Lugo to make this tough

While 22 points separate Lugo from Almeria ahead of this Monday night encounter, the hosts are by no means pushovers in this division, evidenced by their league-high return of 11 draws this season (55% draw rate).

In fact, half of Lugo’s home league games ended in stalemates, though they may find it harder to hold out this time around as they welcome Almeria, a side who are detached by some margin at the top of the table.

Awesome Almeria to creep through

The visitors have scored the opening goal in seven of their ten away league games so far this term and given that they went on to win six of those games in which they did, you would fancy the league leaders to start quick and hold on.

Moreover, Almeria are the league’s highest away scorers, averaging 1.7 scored goals per league trip this term. Consequently, they will provide a much sterner test than the hosts are used to.

Given the apparent gulf in class between these sides, I predict an away win, albeit not by a great margin given Lugo’s stubborn tendency to draw games. I think Lugo’s average of 1.0 conceded goals per home league match will remain the same as they could fall to a 1-0 defeat.


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