Leeds vs Burnley Predictions
Published on 8:38am GMT 1 May 2026
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Leeds vs Burnley Predictions
- Leeds have won two of their last three home games and kept three consecutive clean sheets at Elland Road
- Burnley have lost four of their last six away games and failed to score in four of those outings
- Already relegated clubs won only two of 14 PL matches last season, losing nine
Leeds look good for three points
Leeds look good for the points when relegated Burnley head to Elland Road on Friday night to take on the beaten FA Cup semi-finalists. Daniel Farke’s side fell short of upsetting Chelsea at Wembley last Sunday, despite a valiant display.
However, they missed a handful of opportunities to score while Chelsea punished them in a rare moment of quality. Oddly, there was much more tension in the Leeds line-up than in most of their recent relegation battles.
Their fans should expect a return to the more confident and vibrant displays they delivered against Wolves, Manchester United and Bournemouth en route to scoring seven goals, collecting seven points and virtually assuring safety.
Clarets’ resistance has been broken
Burnley’s fate was sealed by a 1-0 defeat at home to Manchester City last week in which they hardly laid a glove on the title-chasing visitors after Quilindschy Hartman and Zian Flemming both squandered glorious chances to level the scores.
They managed only one shot on target in the 90 minutes and have now failed to score in four of their last six Premier League games. Scott Parker’s men have conceded a league-worst 68 goals – a staggering 42 of which have come away from home.
The chances of the Clarets going down with a bit of pride must be doubtful given Parker’s future seems uncertain amid reports of an interest in appointing Steven Gerrard at Turf Moor. Players will be on to their agents about getting moves and last season’s record of relegated clubs, which saw the three sides win only two and lose nine of their 14 matches after the drop was confirmed, indicates results will be affected.
Okafor the prime goal threat
Backing Leeds to win this at their odds-on quote will not make anyone rich quick, but taking the greater win to nil price has merit. Farke’s men have kept three consecutive clean sheets at home and allowed Chelsea only two sights of their goal and an xG of 0.39 on Sunday.
Noah Okafor is the hosts’ greatest attacking threat right now after scoring four times in Leeds’ last five Premier League games. He also hit the post in the 2-2 draw at Bournemouth.
Take the Swiss striker in anytime goalscorer betting and look at a 1-0 home win in correct score markets.
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