MK Dons vs Peterborough Predictions

After the heartbreak of losing late on at the weekend, MK Dons made a winning return to their own patch, as they got the better of a Lincoln side that had won three out of three. Having won each of their first two home matches, Paul Tisdale’s men will fancy themselves to get the better of Peterborough, who come into this game of the back of their first win of the season, on Saturday.

On match-day one, MK Dons looked very poor going forward, as they somehow scraped a 1-0 win against Shrewsbury. After that match it was tough to be positive about the chances of Paul Tisdale’s men, though the Dons have since improved vastly in the final third.

Against Wycombe on match-day two, Tisdale’s side created an abundance of scoring opportunities, two of which they took, as they posted a very impressive 3.43 expected goals for. They continue to look good in the final third when beating Lincoln last time out, again scoring twice and creating a decent 1.75 expected goals.

However, an increase in attacking productivity has come at a price. While they’ve looked good going forward, the Dons have struggled to keep teams at bay. They conceded three goals against Wycombe last weekend, shipping 1.71 expected goals in the process, while they were once again breached on Tuesday, surrendering a rather hefty 2.36 expected goals for. Such numbers don’t exactly bode well.

It’s been a mixed start to the campaign for Peterborough, who’ve lost two, drawn one and won one, but they’ve looked useful over the last week or so, and come into this match unbeaten in two.

Darren Ferguson’s men showed that they’ve got what it takes to hurt teams when scoring twice against Ipswich last weekend, while they continued to look useful in the final third on Tuesday evening, as they notched twice on route to victory against Southend, creating 1.59 expected goals for in the process. Like Saturday’s hosts, Posh, who’ve conceded in three out of four, shipping six goals in total, haven’t looked great at the back, but their recent attacking efforts are positive ahead of a match against a Dons side that has given plenty away of late.

In the betting, given the recent performances of both, ‘Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score’ stands out as viable option. MK Dons, who’re coming off the back of scoring four goals in two games, posting a combined 5.18 expected goals for, have shown more than enough to suggest that they can hurt the visitors, but their rather shaky defensive efforts point towards Peterborough also enjoying themselves in the final third, so much so that the price on offer appears to suggest that a high-scoring games is less likely than several indicators.