Nancy vs Ajaccio Predictions

• Nancy have won three of their last five home league games.
• Ajaccio have lost two of their last five away league games.
• Nancy have scored in four of their last five home league games.
• Ajaccio have failed to score in three of their last five away league contests.

Upset potential in Monday night’s clash

Monday night’s Ligue 2 matchup between the teams with the worst and best defensive records in the division could see Nancy upset promotion-contending Ajaccio. The hosts, although bottom of the table, pulled off a shock 3-0 win over second-placed Paris FC in mid-March and are seemingly on the right path under coach Albert Cartier.

He took over in January with a remit of halting Nancy’s ‘open doors’ policy at the back. The Thistles had shipped 35 goals in their first 19 games and, although it’s still 17 conceded in 11 games under his charge, there has been some improvement there over the last few games.

Nancy have won three of their last five games at Stade Marcel-Picot, two of which were accompanied by clean sheets, so shouldn’t be taken lightly by their Corsican opponents this weekend. Ajaccio arrive on the back of a 1-0 home win over Nimes that put them back on track after dropping points at home to struggling Bastia and away to third-bottom Quevily-Rouen.

Ajaccio’s recent form must be questioned

Those two results should send a few alarm bells ringing for anyone looking to back them here at just better than even money – and the underlying stats from the win over Nimes, who had almost three times the xG of their hosts, also suggest something is going wrong.

Ajaccio are not the greatest goalscorers on the road themselves, managing only five in their last nine road trips, so this feels like a contest where Nancy can get something if they stay in the game long enough. Aside from picking the hosts draw no bet here, we also like the look of a 1-0 home victory as Ajaccio have failed to score in three of their last five away from home.

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