PSV vs Sturm Graz Predictions

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Sturm Graz
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PSV -2

15/8odds when tipped
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PSV 4-1

18/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Five of PSV’s last eight victories were settled with a 3+ goal margin.
  • PSV are unbeaten in 12 of their 15 historical clashes with Austrian opponents.
  • Sturm Graz are winless six of their seven historical meetings with Dutch opposition (W1, D1, L5).
  • Sturm Graz are winless in six games across all competitions.

Puissant PSV to turn the screw on Sturm

It still appears to be a three horse race in the penultimate round of this Europa League group, though visiting Sturm are essentially already out of that race. Currently sat in third, PSV need to win to definitely set up a shootout for qualification to the Europa League knockout round on the final day and I am predicting them to do just that, as they often have when Austrian sides are the opponents (W10, D2, L3).

The permutations surrounding Sturm Graz are not to straight forward, they can now only finish third which would see them to the Europa Conference League knockout rounds, but that would require a win here and a win over group leaders Monaco on the final day to even stand a chance. Given how unlikely that sequence of events is to happen and the fact that they would still be relying on PSV to drop points in the final round, I am predicting that they will buckle under the pressure and fall to a comprehensive defeat, one which would worsen their already-poor away form in the Europa League group stage (W1, D2, L5).

As for the correct score prediction, PSV’s 15 historical clashes against Austrian opponents yielded over three goals per-match and given what is at stake, I am happy to tip up a high-scoring 4-1 home win.

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