Santa Clara vs Tondela Predictions

• These two sides drew 0-0 when they met for the reverse league fixture in September.
• Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 5 of Santa Clara’s last 6 matches.
• Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 4 of Tondela’s last 6 matches.
• Tondela have won more games on the road this season than Santa Clara have in their own backyard.

Tondela have a good record away from home

Santa Clara picked up a third straight victory last weekend when they beat Belenenses 2-0 away while Tondela were held to a goalless draw at home by Maritimo, meaning that Saturday’s hosts now sit 2pts clear of Tondela in the Primeira Liga table. Santa Clara head into this weekends’ clash as the form favourites with four wins and two defeats from their last six matches, but only one of those victories have arrived at home.

Under 2.5 goals were produced when the pair met earlier in the season, with the game ending goalless, and fewer than 3-goals have been scored in five of Santa Clara’s and four of Tondela’s last six league outings. Tondela have won three of their last seven matches against Santa Clara which includes their last trip to the Estádio de São Miguel.

Despite their good recent good run of form, Santa Clara have only won three of their ten home games this season, and have lost five of them, while Tondela have won five of their away games and have only lost three times on the road. Santa Clara average 1.10 points per home game while Tondela average 1.70 points per away game, so you can see just why we have backed the visitors to win 1-0 on Saturday.

The hosts have failed to score in 40% of their home games

Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 60% of Santa Clara’s home games as well as in 50% of Tondela’s trips on the road, with both teams scoring in just 40% of the hosts’ home games and the visitors’ away games this season. Santa Clara score an average of just 0.80 goals per home game and concede 1.30 goals while Tondela score an average of 1.30 goals per away game and concede 1.20 goals, adding further weight to our prediction for a 1-0 away win this weekend.

Tondela have scored 13-goals on the road and Santa Clara have only scored 8-goals in their own backyard, with the hosts failing to score in 40% of their home matches and the visitors keeping clean sheets in an impressive 40% of their away games. A majority of Tondela’s wins this season (5) have been obtained with a 1-goal margin while Santa Clara have lost four times via a 1-goal margin so far.

We’re confident that under 2.5 goals will be scored in Saturday’s clash and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0 in favour of Tondela. The visitors might not have form in their favour but they have been very good on the road this season where they have a 50% win ratio, while Santa Clara have lost half of their home games and have performed better on the road this season.