Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto Predictions

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  • Sun 16 Feb
Vitoria Guimaraes
FC Porto

Both Teams To Score

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FC Porto 2-1

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Tip Reasoning

  • Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two clubs.
  • Both teams have scored in 3 of Porto’s last 5 matches.
  • Porto have won 4 of their last 5 matches in all competitions.
  • Porto have won 7 of their 10 away games in the Primeira Liga.

Porto won’t be expecting to have things all their own way on Sunday

Vitoria Guimaraes thrashed Famalicao 7-0 last weekend to take their goal difference to +11, while Porto progressed through to the final of the Taca de Portugal in midweek courtesy of a 4-1 aggregate victory over Academico Viseu. 22pts separate 2nd placed Porto from 7th placed Vitoria Guimaraes and it is Sunday’s visitors that head into this match as the clear form favourites having won four, drawn one, and lost one of their last six matches in league and cup.

Porto have won five of their last seven games against Guimaraes and both teams have scored in three of the duos’ last six encounters. Guimaraes have only failed to score in two of their last six competitive matches while three of Porto’s last five outings have seen both teams score, so you can see why we have backed a narrow 2-1 win for the visitors this weekend.

The hosts have dropped points in half of their home games already this season and Porto have won 70% of their away games, with Guimares averaging 1.70 points per home game and Porot averaging 2.30 points per away game. Guimaraes score an average of 1.70 goals per home game and have only failed to score in 20% of the matches played in their own backyard, while have scored in each one of their away games and score an average of 2.00 goals on the road and only concede 0.90 goals, adding further weight to our prediction for a 2-1 away win this weekend.

Guimaraes scored 7-goals last time out and will be full of confidence

Both teams have scored in 60% of Porto’s away games and 40% of Guimaraes’ home games, with over 2.5 goals being scored in half of the visitors’ away trips. Exactly 3-goals have been scored in 35% of Porto’s league games this season and on seven occasions Porto have won by a margin of 1-goal, while a majority of Guimaraes’ defeats (4) have been via a 1-goal margin.

The hosts have only conceded 8-goals at home so far and Porto have let in just 9-goals on the road, which is why we’re not expecting a goal-fest of any kind this Sunday, instead we expect a close and competitive ninety minutes. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 70% of the hosts’ home matches as well as in 80% of the visitors’ away games, so we’re ruling out a 0-0 draw or 1-0 win, either way, this weekend.

We’re confident that both teams will score in Sunday’s match and we have predicted a final scoreline of 2-1 in favour of Porto. The visitors are strong on the road and head into Sunday’s clash in top form, so despite Guimaraes scoring 7-goals in their last league game, we expect the hosts to suffer a fourth home defeat of the campaign.

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