Bolton vs Brentford Predictions

Bolton are bound for League One, but will they drop out of the league with a home victory? It’s been a terrible year for the fans at the University of Bolton Stadium, as the home support have seen 14 defeats already this term. They head into this clash on the back of five straight defeats. How will they fare as they face Brentford in their penultimate game at this level?

The hosts are aiming to wrap up a difficult season with something to enjoy. They are 11 points shy of safety with two games to go, which shows how tough their season has been. Bolton are the side with the league’s worst home record. They are on a four-game losing run at their own ground, which means they come into Saturday’s clash priced as massive outsiders.

That has left Brentford as the odds-on favourites. However, the Bees have taken up that position by default. They are awful on the road, having lost 11 of their 22 trips. They’ve claimed just two victories on their travels all season, so it’s hard to justify their current price in this clash. While someone has to lose this one – and it could easily be Bolton – we struggle to see much value in the visitors’ price.

Instead, we’re looking at the talents of these two going forward. Not only have Brentford picked just 26% of their points on the road, but they’ve also scored only 32% of their goals this season on the road. They head into this clash having hit just a goal per game on their travels, while they’ve seen 59% of their games on the road finish with under 2.5 goals scored. They are far from a prolific side on their travels, so could we see the Bees struggle to make an impact in their last trip of the season?

They are meeting a Bolton side who have scored 0.66 goals per game in the league this term, hitting only 13 goals in 22 matches at home. They’ve failed to score in three of their last four matches here, so they’re unlikely to rack up a big score here. That should lead to a low scoring game against a Brentford side whose 36 goals conceded on the road make up 62% of the total goals scored in their away games. With 59% of Bolton’s home games seeing under 2.5 goals, we’re backing a low scoring clash.