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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Predictions

Published on 7:15pm GMT 17 October 2025

  • 18:45
  • Expired
  • San Siro Stadium
AC Milan
Fiorentina
  • TNT Sports 1

AC Milan to Win

Reason for tip

Fiorentina are winless this term, losing three of their last four league games. Milan have won five of their last six games across all competitions, while they’ve picked up two wins from three at home.

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AC Milan 2-0

Reason for tip

Fiorentina have scored once across their first three away games, while Milan have conceded the second-lowest xG tally. Half of Milan’s xG Against came when they were 2-0 up and reduced to 10-men against champions Napoli, so they’re capable of a clean sheet.

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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Predictions

  • Milan have won five of their last six games
  • The Rossoneri have a fantastic defensive record, keeping four clean sheets in their last five league outings
  • Fiorentina are winless, losing three of their last four in Serie A

Allegri’s Milan can cruise by struggling visitors

Max Allegri is doing an impressive job in his return to Milan, turning the Rossoneri into surprise early title contenders. While they look a little short on quality for a true title push, Allegri has built a solid side capable of returning to the Champions League.

Milan have clearly been helped by the fact they’ve missed out on Europe, with Allegri quickly making them an incredibly solid side at the back. They’ve kept four clean sheets in five, while they shipped just 0.2 xG in a 2-1 defeat to Cremonese in their opener.

Milan beat Napoli and drew at Juventus in their last two games, but their performance in Turin deserved all three points. Sunday’s encounter with Fiorentina looks like a much easier task, with la Viola winless after six games and languishing in 17th place.

Fiorentina have failed to score in visits to two of the bottom five, while they’ve lost clashes with Como, Roma, and Napoli. Milan have won five of their last six games across all competitions, so back them to add to the visitors’ awful start.

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