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Barcelona vs Valladolid Predictions

  • 19:30
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  • Camp Nou
  • Premier Sports 1

4/5odds when tipped
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21/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

Civil unrest in Catalonia led to the disappointing yet understandable postponement of El Clasico on Friday evening, leaving Barcelona with a few days off after their hard fought 1-2 Champions League success away to Slavia Prague in midweek. Ernesto Valverde’s side are set to return on Tuesday evening against Valladolid at Camp Nou, where they will be bidding for their fifth straight league win and their 12th consecutive La Liga victory at home.

Valladolid have made a really positive start to the new season, but it’s difficult to comprehend the size of the task which they face here on Matchday 11 – at least in terms of trying to land all three points at Camp Nou.

Barcelona have been beaten just once in their last 59 home La Liga games, an incredible run dating back to September 2016 when Alaves pulled off a shock 1-2 triumph. Real Betis are the only side to turn over the Catalan giants since (3-4, November 2018) and Barca have otherwise won 49 and drawn nine in front of their own supporters over the course of the last three years.

Those stats easily help us to contextualise why Valladolid are huge 14/1 outsiders for this contest, and if anything, that price looks a little on the short side – especially considering that Barca will be fresh for this and Pucela have to cope with a quick turnaround following their home game against Eibar on Saturday.

Valladolid emerged 2-0 winners from that fixture to climb up to 8th in the La Liga table, and the Castille and Leon outfit have to be commended for the progress they have made so far this term after narrowly beating the drop in 2018/19.

Pucela have lost just two of their 10 league outings so far in the new campaign and head to Camp Nou unbeaten in their last five matches. Whilst half of their games have finished level, away draws against Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao have demonstrated that Sergio’s side can cope with the big occasions.

This Tuesday’s fixture requires even more from Valladolid if they are to get anything, but the visitors will be encouraged by their recent meetings with Barca, which have generally been quite close.

Whilst Pucela have won one and lost five of the last six matches between the pair, Barca’s margin of victory has only been a single goal in three of those clashes, including both games in La Liga last term.

So although we ultimately expect the hosts to prove too good here and rack up yet another success at Camp Nou, there are plenty of reasons to suggest that Valverde’s team will have to graft for their success and the margin of victory may well be a slender one.

With just nine goals shipped all season and only two conceded in their last four outings, we think Valladolid will have enough in hand with a three goal start on the handicap.

The visitors have managed to score in seven of their ten league games and can also get on the score-sheet here, with Barca conceding in six of their nine league outings, leading us to a 2-1 correct score prediction alongside our main tip.

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