- The Amex Stadium
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- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 11 of Brighton’s last 16 league matches.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in six of Leeds’ last ten league assignments.
- Just a single goal was scored when Brighton and Leeds last met in January.
- Brighton have drawn more games (13) than any other Premier League team this season.
Few goals expected at the Amex Stadium
A glance at the Premier League table shows Brighton sitting just outside the drop zone, though the Seagulls’ performances this season have been much better than their low position in the table suggests.
Albion’s inability to put the finishing touches to their flowing football means they have scored one or fewer goals in 14 of their last 16 top-flight tussles, however, Brighton – who have the division’s third-best xGA (expected goals against) – remain a tough team to breach at the other end.
That combination of factors produces plenty of low-scoring games involving Brighton, indeed, under 2.5 goals have been scored in a huge 11 of their last 16 league games.
Their opponents on Saturday, Leeds, have had their own problems putting the ball in the net. Marcelo Bielsa’s outfit have failed to register in five of their last ten matches, and under 2.5 goals landed in six of those contests.
A single strike from Neal Maupay was enough to separate the teams when Brighton and Leeds last squared off at Elland Road in January, and bettors are advised to stick with the under 2.5 goals market for Saturday’s return fixture.
Leeds are unbeaten in their last half a dozen games however, with excellent displays against Chelsea, Man City, Liverpool and Man Utd allowing them to pocket plenty of confidence during that run, and with their self-belief soaring, they are unlikely to lose on Saturday.
With goal-scoring power lacking on both sides, our 1-1 correct score prediction forecasts a share of the spoils between two well-matched outfits. With 13 stalemates behind them this term, Brighton are the division’s draw-specialists, and another tie looks the likeliest outcome on Saturday.
Brighton injuries and team news
Ben White is back from suspension for Brighton and should start against his old club. Solly March and Tariq Lamptey are both still sidelined for Albion however.
Leeds injures and team news
Liam Copper is still out for Leeds through suspension, while Raphinha and Rodrigo could miss another game as they work towards recovery.