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Burnley vs Everton Predictions

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Burnley to Win

8/5odds when tipped
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Burnley 1-0

15/2odds when tipped
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Burnley vs Everton Predictions

  • Everton haven’t won away from home since August, a run stretching 15 games.
  • Everton have lost their last six on the road.
  • This is essentially a must-win game for Burnley if they are to avoid the drop.
  • Everton score on average just 0.8 goals-per-game on their travels.

Burnley host Everton in proverbial six-pointer

Burnley and Everton meet in the Premier League on Wednesday in a huge fixture in terms of the battle against relegation.

The Clarets sit second from bottom of the table and they are four points adrift of Everton, who occupy the final safe space.

Defeat for Burnley would be a huge blow to their hopes of securing a sixth successive season in the Premier League as Everton are probably the last team they can realistically expect to catch, although they are nine points behind Leeds with three games in hand.

For Everton, a point wouldn’t be a disaster as they look to avoid dropping out of the top flight of English football for the first time since the 1950s.

Dyche has been here before

It is hard to make a strong case for either of these two sides to win based on form alone as both head into the clash on the back of poor runs.

Burnley have lost each of their last four games without scoring, while Everton have four defeats in their last five and have managed just two goals during that period.

However, with home advantage I feel Burnley may just edge this clash. Their need is also greater as defeat would be a potentially terminal blow to their hopes of avoiding the drop.

Burnley boss Sean Dyche is the more experienced of the two managers and small margins like that can prove decisive in a relegation battle. Dyche has been relegated once with the Clarets but he has also overseen a few successful survival bids, while this is brand new territory for Everton boss Frank Lampard.

Everton have also been truly abysmal on their travels and they haven’t won away from home since August, a run stretching 15 games across all competitions. They’ve lost their last six away from home in all competitions and have 10 defeats in their last 12 trips stretching back further, while Burnley have managed to pick up a few big results at home – including a draw with Manchester United and a win over Spurs in February.

One goal may prove decisive

Burnley have scored just 22 goals in 28 Premier League games and Everton average just 0.8 goals-per-game on their travels, so this match looks a good option for fans of the under 2.5 goals market.

Burnley don’t concede too many goals at home and they have only conceded more than two goals twice, while they managed to restrict visitors Manchester City to two in a 2-0 defeat at the weekend. Dyche’s men have managed a few clean sheets along the way, most notably against Spurs, and as Everton struggle for goals on the road I’m going for a 1-0 win for the hosts in the correct score market.

Burnley predicted lineup: Pope, Roberts, Long, Tarkowski, Taylor, Lennon, Westwood, Cork, Brownhill, Cornet, Weghorst

Everton predicted lineup: Pickford, Kenny, Godfrey, Branthwaite, Mykolenko, Iwobi, Holgate, Doucoure, Gray, Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin

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  • Under 2.5 goals has landed in nine of Burnley’s last 11 league matches
  • Everton have conceded on each of their last 12 Premier League road trips

Spotlight Insights combine the best data and editorial expertise to give you an extra angle.

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