Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera Betting Tips and Predictions

Once Caldas finished their Apertura phase of the Colombian Primera A season solidly in the middle of the table in 10th position. Once Caldas were 5 points short of the 8th place spot needed to qualify for the end of season title playoffs and as such have brought in a few players over the break to strengthen the squad. Caldas were lucky in their 2-1 win in their opening game on Monday as Deportivo Pasto dominated possession (70% to 30%) and shots on target (10 to 2). Caldas’ 2nd goal was scored by freshly signed striker Sergio Romero, who came to them from none other than this fixtures opponents.

Alianza Petrolera had one of their worst seasons in the Colombian Primera A since their promotion in 2013. After their dramatic draw in their opening fixture against giants Atletico Nacional, however, Alianza Petrolera should be more optimistic. Midfielder Jhon Vasquez, who was signed during the season break, was brought on for his debut at half time and scored the 71st minute equaliser to level the teams to 3-3.

Despite this top performance from Alianza Petrolera, Once Caldas are the favourites at home thanks to Colombia’s hugely varying climate and Alianz Petrolera’s awful away form. Once Caldas have taken 10 points from a possible 15 at home over their last 5 matches (W3 D1 L1) whereas Petrolera have taken just 3 points from the same number of matches away from home (W1 L4) as they come into this off the back of 4 consecutive away defeats. Recent results from both sides, however, have been very high scoring with all 4 of Petrolera’s defeats having 3 or more goals scored and similarly 4 of Once Caldas’ last 5 home matches have had 3 or more goals scored. Combining this analysis with the statistics below, we expect over 2.5 goals at 1/1 to be the safe bet in this match with a final result of Once Caldas win 2-1 at 15/2 to be a top value correct score bet.

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