- Stamford Bridge
- BT Sport 2
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 20 of Chelsea’s last 23 fixtures.
- Under 2.5 goals have been produced in five of Real Madrid’s last six matches.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in 19 matches in all competitions.
- Chelsea have failed to win three of their last four home games.
Chelsea’s slight advantage
A disciplined performance, a draw and an away goal meant that Chelsea were singing in the rain in Madrid last week, and if the Blues can weather the storm in Wednesday’s semi-final second-leg, a place in the Champions League final awaits.
Chelsea have been a mean defensive machine under Thomas Tuchel, and their strength at the back was evident again in the first-leg in Spain, where the Blues restricted Real Madrid to just nine attempts and a single effort on target at the Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano.
Tuchel rested key first-leg performers N’Golo Kante, Ben Chilwell, Christian Pulisic, Jorginho and Cesar Azpilicueta in Chelsea’s 2-0 win over Fulham at the weekend, and that means the Blues should have the energy to run the hard yards against Real again.
Real need a spark
Real Madrid look alarmingly subdued against Chelsea in the first-leg and much of their attacking play lacked dynamism and speed.
Indeed, Zinedine Zidane’s charges toiled again for long periods at the weekend before striking late to oust Osasuna in Madrid, where former Chelsea star Eden Hazard was handed a chance to impress before Wednesday.
The Belgian schemer was ineffective and subbed off in the second half however, and is likely to return to the bench in the Champions League.
Expect a tight game in London
With an away goal to defend and a defensive strategy that has been yielding excellent results for Thomas Tuchel, Chelsea could set up to stifle again on Wednesday and a game of few chances could develop as a result.
20 of Chelsea’s 23 games under Tuchel have produced under 2.5 goals and the same market appeals when the Blues line up against a Real Madrid outfit lacking spark, with that tip also making it into our 14/1 bet builder for the game.
Our 1-1 correct score prediction tips Los Blancos to eventually take the tie to extra time however. Zinedine Zidane’s resilient side never set pulses racing, though their unparalleled big-game experience means they are rarely beaten.
Real haven’t lost any of their last 19 matches, despite facing Atletico Madrid, Atalanta (twice), Liverpool (twice), Barcelona and of course Chelsea during that period, and their knowhow at the highest level could allow them to push the semi-final second-leg right to the wire.