Erzgebirge Aue vs SV Darmstadt Predictions

• Erzgebirge Aue have collected 30 of their 38 points at home, losing only one of their 13 league contests
• Both teams have scored in only one of Darmstadt’s last six league matches
• Five of the last six meetings have resulted in 1-0 wins

Erzgebirge Aue dominant on home turf

Only title contenders Stuttgart have picked up more points at home this season than Erzgebirge Aue, who have lost just one of their 13 league games at the Erzgebirgsstadion.

The Violets have collected 30 of their 38 points on their own patch, recording victory over Hamburg (3-0) and sharing the spoils with promotion-chasing pair Arminia Bielfield and Stuttgart.

Erzgebirge Aue have scored three or more in seven of their 13 games at home and have also displayed their defensive qualities with five clean sheets in that period.

With just one point separating the sides and both arriving in excellent form, this promises to be a close encounter but we’re predicting home advantage to swing the pendulum in Erzgebirge Aue’s favour.

Darmstadt have a bit to prove on the road

Darmstadt have lost just one of their last 12 league games but their sole defeat in that period did come on their last away trip at relegation-threatened Kalrsruher.

Darmstadt were beaten 2-0 at third-bottom Karlsruher and were bitterly disappointed as they failed to register a shot on target.

It was a fifth time from 13 away games that they had not found the net and it was a performance that highlighted why they had recorded just four road wins this term.

Darmstadt have also suffered defeats at Osnabruck (13th) and Sandhausen (14th) this season, while settling for points at Bochum (12th) and Wehen Wiesbaden (17th), and a deeper look into their away form paints a worrying picture.

Narrow home win on the cards

Five of the last six meetings have resulted in 1-0 wins and this could be equally tight between two sides separated in the Bundesliga 2 table by just one point and one place.

Both teams have scored in only one of Darmstadt’s last six league matches and although they have a bit to prove away from home, they are resolute defensively 19 away goals conceded – only three sides have shipped fewer.

Darmstadt have conceded exactly once in five of their 13 road trips and our correct score prediction of 1-0 suggests a similar outcome on Tuesday.