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Everton vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions

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England Premier League | Goodison Park | 26th July
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Everton
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KO 16:00
AFC Bournemouth badge
AFC Bournemouth
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Everton vs Bournemouth predictions for Sunday’s Premier League contest at Goodison Park. Bournemouth need a Merseyside miracle to avoid being relegated on the season’s last day. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 10/11

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Everton 3-2 @ 25/1

Reason For Everton vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions

  • The last six meetings between Everton and Bournemouth averaged 4.16 goals per game.
  • Everton are unbeaten in 11 Premier League matches at Goodison Park.
  • Bournemouth lost each of their last nine away league games, conceding an average of 2.44 goals per 90 minutes along the way.
  • Over 2.5 goals were registered and both teams scored in five of the last six clashes between Everton and Bournemouth.

Bournemouth need Merseyside miracle

After five seasons dining at English football’s top table, Bournemouth face being relegated back to the Championship on Sunday, and only a miraculous turnaround at Goodison Park will see their Premier League status retained.

The second from bottom Cherries are three points from safety ahead of the season’s final fixtures, and Eddie Howe’s men will need to beat Everton and hope that both Watford and Aston Villa lose their final games on Sunday to spark a late turnaround.

Promising performances against Tottenham (0-0) and Leicester (4-1) were followed by a third successive positive display, albeit in a 2-1 defeat at Man City earlier this month – results that suggested Bournemouth were ready to pull away from danger at the death.

However, a limp 0-2 reverse at home to Southampton in their last outing means the Cherries need a dramatic last day reprieve to pull clear of the bottom three.

Everton in mid-table limbo

With Arsenal in 10th out of reach of Everton in 11th ahead of Sunday’s campaign climax, the Toffees will be unable to secure the top half finish they craved this season.

The Blues, who shelled out close to £200m on new players since the summer of 2018, had much loftier aspirations this term, though a combination of managerial upheaval and poor player performance has kept them hovering in mid-table limbo for the majority of the season.

Carlo Ancelotti’s men do at least look on course to finish their campaign at Goodison Park in promising fashion however, having gone 11 Premier League games unbeaten there since late November last year.

Only Liverpool, Man City and Man Utd have lost fewer times at home in the league since August – and Everton will hope to use their form on Merseyside as a springboard for greater success next season.

Final day excitement likely at Goodison Park

Nothing short of a victory will suffice for Bournemouth on Sunday, and with their need for goals stark, we expect the Cherries to push forward in numbers in search of success at Goodison Park.

That should in turn however, leave numerous gaps at the back for the hosts to exploit, and in key forward pair, Richarlison and Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Everton have more than enough pace to be dangerous counter-punchers.

Bournemouth, who hold the Premier League’s third worst defensive record this season, conceded 20 goals in their last eight away assignments, and Everton, who hit 15 goals against the Cherries in the clubs’ last six meetings, should find plenty of final third joy again on Sunday against a visiting team chasing a win.

It’s worth noting that Bournemouth hit back with 11 goals of their own in those six encounters with Everton since 2017 – in fact, over 2.5 goals were scored in all but one of those seven games during the same three-year period.

In total, an average of 4.16 goals hit the net per 90 minutes of action between the teams, with both teams making an impact on the scoresheet in five of those aforementioned six skirmishes.

Everything looks in place for the sides’ latest clash on Sunday to be similarly exciting, and with action and final day drama anticipated, the over 2.5 goals and both teams to score combination hold plenty of value.

We expect Bournemouth’s search for victory to ultimately come up short however, with relegation to the Championship to follow.

The Cherries, beaten in each of their last nine Premier League away games, shouldn’t be expected to outscore Everton while trading blows in an end-to-end contest.

Bournemouth conceded an average of 2.44 goals per game during that miserable nine-match losing sequence, and hit exactly one goal in 50% of the most recent three of those games. Everton meanwhile, conceded exactly once in five of their last six at home, making a 2-1 Toffees triumph a likely outcome on Sunday.

Race to be crowned Everton’s top scorer

Dynamic Brazilian forward and promising English striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin will go head-to-head on Sunday to claim top spot in Everton’s Premier League goal-scoring charts for the season.

The pair, locked on 13 goals each for the campaign, will both be desperate to out-score the other in the season’s final fixture against Bournemouth, so don’t be surprised to see some selfish shooting at Goodison Park.

Neither payer has been able to add to their tallies in cup competitions this term, meaning their Premier League totals account for their entire 2019/20 hauls respectively since August.

Calvert-Lewin notched Everton’s consolation effort in the club’s 3-1 defeat at Bournemouth in September, and a repeat performance from the 23-year-old in Sunday’s return fixture could see him win the individual duel ahead of his striker partner.

Everton vs Bournemouth team news

Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Cenk Tosun, Fabian Delph, Mason Holgate and Yerry Mina are all ruled out for Everton’s final game of the season, while Moise Kean is also rated as doubtful.

Promising youngsters Anthony Gordon and Jarrad Branthwaite will hope to feature again for the Toffees.

Everton predicted line-up: Pickford – Coleman, Keane, Branthwaite, Digne – Gomes, Davies, Sigurdsson – Gordon, Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin

Eddie Howe will still be without key defensive quartet Charlie Daniels, Nathan Ake, Simon Francis and Chris Mepham for the weekend, though Adam Smith who was also a doubt at right back, has been passed fit.

Lewis Cook and Dan Gosling could slot back into midfield with more creativity and a win required. That tactical switch would see Jefferson Lerma and Phillip Billing start from the bench.

Bournemouth predicted line-up: Ramsdale – Smith, S. Cook, Kelly, Rico – L. Cook, Gosling, Brooks, Stanislas – King, Wilson

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