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Monterrey rode their luck in draws against Inter Milan and River Plate, having an expected goal difference of -2.92 across those two games. They face a Borussia Dortmund side that have won their last two games, limiting Ulsan HD to just three shots in their last victory.

Reason for tip

Full Time Result

Borussia Dortmund beat Ulsan HD 1-0 last time out, limiting the South Koreans to just three shots and 0.23 expected goals. Monterrey were fortunate to draw against River Plate and Inter, having just three shots on target across those two games.

Correct Score

Iceland can kick-on after drawing all three group games at the previous Euros, with their opening match pitting them against a vulnerable Finland side. The Finns struggled in the Nations League this year, finishing behind a Serbian side that failed to qualify for the tournament.

Iceland are a tough side to break down, but their lack of cutting edge is a concern against top opposition. Finland conceded 12 times across their initial qualifying campaign last year, losing to nil in all three away trips. Back Iceland to start with a narrow victory.

BBC One

Hosts Switzerland have lost six of their last nine internationals, including home and away defeats to Norway. This Norway side is packed with talent and they&#8217;ve only lost twice since their new manager took charge earlier this year.

Switzerland have failed to score in six of their previous nine internationals, while they&#8217;ve lost by a one-goal margin in both clashes with Norway in 2025.

BBC Two

Belgium have turned into an impressive counter-attacking side under Elísabet Gunnarsdóttir, but they&#8217;ve conceded 22 times in their nine matches in 2025. Italy have scored in eight of their last nine, so BTTS appeals.

Both Teams To Score

Belgium have lost six of their previous nine matches, conceding over two goals per game in that stretch. Italy have won six of their last 10 matches, so back them to begin with a 2-1 victory.

Spain beat Portugal 7-1 and 4-2 in recent UEFA Nations League meetings and have scored 21 goals in their last five matches. They have scored four or more in five of their last nine fixtures, while Portugal have shipped 20 goals in their last five games.

Team Total Goals

Spain put 11 goals past Portugal in two meetings and were unfortunate to concede against them. They have scored exactly four goals in two of their last four meetings, while Portugal have failed to score in their last three games.

Sweden thrashed Denmark 6-1 in the Nations League recently and should be backed to start their Euro 2025 campaign with another win over the underdogs.

Denmark are heavily reliant on Pernille Harder and their goals have dried up in recent games, while Sweden have the better all-round attack.

The Barcelona forward was on the scoresheet in the away tie against Denmark and can pose problems again.

Goal Scorer - Anytime

Channel 5

This should be a close game but Fluminense can grind out a victory inside 90 minutes. There is a quick turnaround for this quarter-final and Fluminense should be the fresher of the two sides as Al-Hilal played extra time against Man City, whereas the Brazilian side overcame Inter Milan in normal time. Al-Hilal have relied heavily on keeper Bono at various stages and Fluminense have been a little more composed, so back the South American heavyweights to win.

Fluminense have five clean sheets in their last six games and Al-Hilal have conceded just three goals in four Club World Cup games. One goal could be enough to decide this last eight tie so back the Brazilians to secure their place in the semis with a 1-0 win.

Germany are among the favourites to win the tournament and should coast to victory against Poland, but they kept just one clean sheet in six qualifiers and could concede against the underdogs.

Both Teams To Score And Win

Factoring in the possibility of Germany conceding looks a good move, given they kept just one clean sheet in six qualifiers, but they should win comfortably.

Schuller is in excellent form and should get plenty of opportunities, with Germany having scored seven goals in two qualifiers against Poland.

Palmeiras have only conceded two goals in four Club World Cup games, and three of them have produced fewer than three goals, while Chelsea were taken to extra-time by Benfica last time out after a 1-1 draw in normal time.

Total Goals

Palmeiras were given a tough time against Botafogo and Inter Miami, so Chelsea&#8217;s quality should shine through in a tight match. The Blues have won to nil in two of their four Club World Cup games, and Palmeiras have only conceded twice in the tournament so far.

Bayern Munich have won their last four meetings with PSG, but this is a very different side and Les Parisiens head into this clash having won eight of their last nine in all competitions. Bayern Munich beat Flamengo 4-2 last time out, but they had just four shots on target, lost the shot count 12-8, and allowed the Brazilian side 1.37 expected goals to their 0.91.

PSG have averaged 2.5 goals per game so far in the Club World Cup, but Bayern Munich have the quality to get on the scoresheet after notching 17 goals across their four matches so far.

Achraf Hakimi found the net again against Inter Miami, following on from his goal against Seattle Sounders. The attack-minded right-back now has a goal in five of his last eight appearances in all competitions.

Despite their heavy defeat by Italy, Wales have a general trend towards low scores even against high-quality opponents, while Netherlands did not score more than once in any of their qualifiers.

1-0 was the score in both of the Netherlands’ wins in qualifying and Wales restricted their opponents to no more than a single goal in four of their six Nations League games.

Sarina Wiegman has an impeccable tournament group-stage record with the Lionesses and this is where it matters. They have won 14 straight group-stage games at major tournaments, and they can begin their title defence with a win.

2-1 was the scoreline in both meetings in qualifying (a win apiece) and is a reasonable shout again, with England backed to get the points after winning 14 successive group-stage games at major tournaments.