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Genoa vs Lecce Predictions

TV
Italy Serie A | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris | 19th July
Genoa badge
Genoa
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
Lecce badge
Lecce
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Genoa vs Lecce predictions ahead of this Serie A clash on Sunday. This huge showdown in the Serie A relegation battle could decide who will head to Serie B. Read on for our free Serie A predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Genoa to Win @ 17/20

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Genoa 2-1 @ 15/2

Reason For Genoa vs Lecce Predictions

  • Lecce have conceded 18 times in seven games since the restart, scoring only six in return
  • Genoa have only lost once in 11 meetings with newly-promoted sides at home
  • The Grifone have won four and drawn two of their last six at home to Lecce

Double blow for threatened pair

Both of these sides suffered setbacks in their midweek clashes, with heavy defeats leaving them rooted in the relegation battle. SPAL and Brescia are almost out of the running, while Udinese seem to have clawed their way clear of danger. That leaves two sides – Genoa and Lecce – fighting to avoid the final relegation spot.

That puts huge pressure onto these two sides going into this game. Genoa will feel as the home team and an established Serie A team that they should push forward to try and claim the points. However, Lecce are the side who sit 18th at the minute, so this trip is their chance to leap out of the bottom three, especially given the lack of home support. That leaves an interesting fixture ahead, but who will edge it?

Can Lecce save themselves?

The visitors need a win, but will they get it? They come into this clash with huge issues in defence, as since the restart, they’ve conceded 18 goals in just seven matches. Lecce have conceded 38 goals in the first 16 away games of this campaign – the last team to avoid relegation with such a poor record was Genoa in 2011/12.

Lecce are shipping 2.3 goals per away trip on average, but with nine losses in 16 trips they are vulnerable here. Their fight against the drop hasn’t sparked into life yet, having lost seven of nine matches, conceding 29 times in that run. That’s not the best way to prepare for an encounter with your relegation rivals, which has us opposing them in our predictions.

Genoa can step up towards safety

The hosts have spent years fighting against the drop, having been a fixture in the relegation battle for the last few seasons. They know how to do enough to see off their rivals at the bottom. Genoa have lost only one of their last 11 games at home against a newly-promoted side (W6 D4). So far they’ve won at home to Brescia and SPAL, so they can complete a clean sweep against the bottom three here.

Genoa have lost only one of their 13 Serie A games against Lecce, winning seven and sharing five draws. Meanwhile, the Grifone are unbeaten in their last six home games against Lecce (W4 D2). That suggests they can boost their survival hopes here, so we’re backing a home win. With Genoa conceding in 81% of their home games, a 2-1 home win is our correct score prediction.


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