Latvia vs Kazakhstan Predictions

Nations League action from the Daugavas Stadionā as hosts Latvia take on Kazakhstan in Group D. Both sides have kicked off their Nations League campaigns with one draw and one loss each and already sit 5 points off Georgia in the promotion spot.

Latvia are rather poor all round but their home form against the lesser nations isn’t too bad. They have beaten Andorra and Estonia in competitive fixtures in the last year but also drew to Andorra in their opening home game of the Nations League. They have also beaten sides like Luxembourg, Lithuania, Armenia and Lithuania in the last few years, so have shown they can beat the weaker nations on home soil.

Kazakhstan are really poor on the road, they haven’t won an away competitive game since 2015 and have lost 5 of the last 6, with the draw coming in their opening Nations League game at Andorra. Their defence isn’t great, conceding in their last 10 consecutive away games.

The two teams met in Euro 2016 Qualifying where they drew 0-0 in Kazakhstan, with the return leg in Latvia ending 1-0 to Kazakhstan showing that both sides are very equal in ability and that this will be a close game.

Latvia aren’t the greatest of scorers, even at home. The Latvians have found the net in just 4 of their last 9 home games, failing to score against sides like Faroe Islands and Andorra. Kazakhstan aren’t too bad at scoring away from home, they have netted in 6 of their last 8 away games, however their problem is the amount they concede.

Both sides lack quality, the last 3 meetings between the sides have yielded just 1 goal in total, with two 0-0 draws and a 1-0 Kazakhstan win. We think this game will go down the same route and backing under 1.5 goals looks the best bet here. Kazakhstan are definitely a better side than Latvia and we think they will just nick the game, so we shall be backing them to win 1-0 on the Correct Score market.