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Lecce vs Fiorentina Predictions

  • 18:45
  • Expired
  • Stadio Via del Mare
Lecce
Fiorentina

Under 2.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Under 2.5 goals have been scored in six of Lecce’s last eight games, and in eight of the last 13 matches to feature Fiorentina. Meanwhile, both sides have averaged fewer than a goal per game in Serie A this season (eight and seven, respectively), and Lecce’s last three home games have all contained under 2.5 goals.

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Fiorentina 1-0

Reason for tip

Though expected goals statistics say Lecce are the least creative team in Serie A this season, Fiorentina are the sixth best, and they will surely end their poor form soon. Lecce are yet to win a home game this season, meanwhile, and no Serie A team has managed fewer shots than the hosts this campaign.

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Lecce vs Fiorentina Predictions

  • Under 2.5 goals have been scored in six of Lecce’s last eight games.
  • With just seven league goals to their name, Fiorentina are one of four Serie A teams to have netted less often than Lecce (eight) this season.
  • Eight of Fiorentina’s last 13 games have contained a maximum of two goals.

Unpredictable Viola look to end away woes

Fiorentina have been a mystery in recent weeks. Vincenzo Italiano’s men have put eight goals past Hearts in two comprehensive Europa Conference League victories in the last fortnight, but have not reached that same tally in nine Serie A games this season – scoring just seven goals. Lecce are another of Serie A’s low-scoring outfits, and a tight affair should be expected when the duo meet on Monday.

Indeed, Italiano’s men are one of just four Serie A teams to fare worse than Lecce on the goalscoring front this term, falling one goal short of the hosts’ tally of eight strikes. Fiorentina have seen under 2.5 goals scored in eight of their last 13 games, meanwhile, and have particularly struggled on the road, failing to win in four away league games this season and only hitting the net twice.

Lecce have seen under 2.5 goals scored in six of their last eight contests, and keeping things cagey may be their best shot at safety. Lecce’s tally of 6.7 expected goals (xG) this season is worse than all bar Spezia in Serie A (Fiorentina are sixth-best with 13.0), and no Italian top-flight team has averaged a lower possession share or managed fewer shots than the hosts. Lecce’s last three home games have all contained two goals as a maximum, and that run could continue next time out.

Low-scoring affair expected

While Fiorentina’s chance creation statistics suggest they will turn their season around sooner rather than later, their poor away form and struggles at the sharp end of the pitch – as well as Lecce’s defensive style – means under 2.5 goals is our main tip for Monday’s game.

However, with Lecce failing to record a home win this season, backing La Viola to shake off their blues with a narrow 1-0 victory may represent a decent correct score prediction.


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