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Morecambe vs Colchester Predictions

Published on 3:00pm GMT 11 January 2020

  • 15:00
  • Expired
  • Globe Arena
Morecambe
Colchester

Under 2.5 Match Goals

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Colchester 1-0

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Morecambe vs Colchester Predictions

  • The last six meetings between these two clubs (all in League Two) have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • None of the last five encounters between the two clubs have seen both teams score.
  • Morecambe have lost four of their last five league games.
  • Colchester are unbeaten in their last five league games.

The visitors head into the match as the form favourites

Morecambe suffered a third straight league defeat when they went down 1-0 at Bradford last time out, while Colchester were held to their third stalemate on the run when they drew 0-0 at Stevenage. However, with three draws and two wins from their last five league games, Colchester claim the title of form favourites heading into this weekends’ clash as their hosts have lost four and won one of their last five outings.

Under 2.5 goals have been produced in each of the last six meetings between Morecambe and Colchester and three of the hosts last six matches have also produced under 2.5 goals, as have Colchester’s last two games, so you can see why we are expecting a low-scoring affair this weekend.

Morecambe have lost six of their twelve home games in League Two so far this season while Colchester have won four times on the road and have only been beaten three times. Morecambe earn an average of 0.83 points per home game while Colchester average 1.38 points per away game which is above the league average of 1.20 points. The hosts concede an average of 1.50 goals per home game and their guests score an average of 1.31 goals per away game which is why we have backed Colchester to win 1-0 on Saturday.

Morecambe have by far  the worst goal difference in the division

Colchester have scored 17 goals on the road so far and Morecambe have only netted 12 goals in their own backyard and have conceded 18 times, so you can see why we are backing Colchester to win this weekend. 50% of Morecambe’s home games and 62% of Colchester’s away games have featured over 0.5 goals at half time, which suggests that if Colchester do go on to win this game 1-0 as we have predicted then the goal will be scored during the first forty-five.

The visitors have kept clean sheets in 31% of their away games this season and their hosts have failed to score in 33% of their home games, adding further weight to our prediction for a 1-0 win for Colchester on Saturday. 28% of Morecambe’s and 24% of Colchester’s league games this season have produced exactly 1 goal, making a 1-0 scoreline the most common result for both teams so far this season.

We’re confident that under 2.5 goals will be produced when these two sides lock horns on Saturday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0 in favour of Colchester. The visitors head into the game as the clear form favourites and are unbeaten in their last five league games. Morecambe sit bottom of the table, due to four defeats in their last five matches, and have failed to score in three of their last fiver outings.

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