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9th Nov 2019
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Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions

England Premier League | St James Park | 9th November
Newcastle badge
Newcastle
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
KO 15:00
AFC Bournemouth badge
AFC Bournemouth
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W

Newcastle vs Bournemouth predictions for Saturday’s Premier League fixture at St. James’ Park. Both Newcastle and Bournemouth are searching for back to back Premier League victories. Read on for all our free Premier League predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 3/4

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Newcastle 1-0 @ 15/2

Reason For Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions

After a miserable start to the season that saw the Magpies win just one of their first seven Premier League games, things have been looking up for Newcastle and Steve Bruce in recent weeks.

Newcastle’s 0-5 hammering at Leicester on September 29th felt like a new nadir for the club, though to their credit, the Magpies recovered brilliantly to take seven points from 12 since.

An unexpected win over Man Utd made their subsequent narrow reverse at Chelsea a little easier to absorb, though Newcastle bounced back to take a point against Wolves and three at West Ham after that.

The Magpies rattled the net three times at the London Stadium against a shell-shocked Irons outfit last weekend, and that was the first time Newcastle scored more than once in a single Premier League game so far this season.

That anomalous goal-blitz aside, Newcastle’s output in the final third has been frugal to say the least, particularly at St. James’ Park.

The Magpies managed to score just three times in total across their five Premier League home matches since August, but despite their lack of cutting edge, Newcastle are unbeaten in front of their own fans since their opening day 0-1 defeat to Arsenal.

Aubameyang’s goal that day is just one of three Newcastle have conceded this season at St. James’ Park, and Steve Bruce has relied heavily on his team’s defensive robustness to win points this term.

Unsurprisingly, that combination of toothless attacking play and well drilled defensive organisation has led to plenty of low-scoring games this season – in fact, 100% of Newcastle’s home matches saw under 2.5 goals since the summer.

We expect that pattern of low excitement to continue this weekend against a Bournemouth that have also seen little goalmouth action in their games of late.

Under 2.5 goals were scored in each of the Cherries last four Premier League outings, and those contests averaged just 0.5 goals per 90 minutes. Bournemouth been much improved at the back this season, and having held the 3rd worst defensive record in the Premier League in 2018/19, the Cherries have shipped an average of just 1.18 goals per game this term.

The Cherries new-found defensive progress has come at a cost in the attacking department, as evidenced by Bournemouth’s failure to register in three of their last four Premier League fixtures.

From every statistical angle, Saturday’s meeting between Newcastle and Bournemouth has the look of a low scoring affair, and we think the under 2.5 goals market is the smartest avenue of approach for the game, though we also expect the Magpies to sneak a 1-0 win.

Two of Newcastle’s three Premier League wins this season were secured by 1-0 scorelines, and buoyed by their recent good run of just one defeat in four, we think the Magpies have enough momentum behind them to edge another narrow win.

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