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Pacos Ferreira vs FC Porto Predictions

  • 18:00
  • Expired
  • Estadio da Capital do Movel
Pacos Ferreira
Porto

Under 2.5 Match Goals

21/20odds when tipped
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£21.00
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FC Porto 2-0

11/2odds when tipped
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£65.00
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Pacos Ferreira vs Porto Predictions

  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in eight of Pacos Ferreira’s last ten league fixtures.
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of the last five Porto games in all competitions.
  • Porto have won their last nine away league games, each of the last two featuring fewer than three goals.

Take note of downturn in Dragons’ goalscoring   

Porto have generally justified their short odds away from home this season and could do again at Pacos Ferreira on Sunday, although there may not be too many goals in this game. The Dragons were held to a 1-1 home draw by Gil Vicente last weekend, but made further progress towards another Primeira Liga title in their last away game – a 1-0 win at Moreirense.

Both matches were not too dissimilar to most of the glorious league wins this season in terms of dominating possession, creating chances and racking up impressive shot counts, but on neither occasion could Sergio Conceicao’s side score the all-important second goal. Porto did double up in midweek when in receipt of a controversial penalty award against Sporting Lisbon in the cup, but three of their last five league games have finished as successful ‘unders’ plays.

Cesar has led Pacos into pragmatic times

Pacos Ferreira remain unbeaten at home under coach Cesar Peixoto, who took over in mid-December, with the coach dramatically affecting their rate of concession. They were conceding almost two goals per game until he took charge, but he has dammed the Beavers defence enough to see that fall to a rate of 0.8 under his supervision.

A shock result would be more likely in a low-scoring game and that’s clearly going to be Pacos’ plan to prevent another Porto procession. Aside from the under 2.5 goals bet, which seems good value at better than evens, we are recommending a correct score play on a 2-0 Porto win. It’s too risky to oppose Porto this season as they seem to be getting contentious refereeing decisions in their favour when they need them the most.


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