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AC Milan vs Fiorentina predictions ahead of this Serie A clash on Saturday. Can Milan return to winning ways and ease the pressure on their boss? Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.

Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 13/20

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Fiorentina 1-0 @ 15/2

Reason For AC Milan vs Fiorentina Betting Tips

AC Milan were beaten on Thursday, putting even more pressure on Marco Giampaolo. His poor start at the club has seen them drop to 13th, with their top-four ambitions floundering. Milan have lost back to back games, but could they make it three defeats on the spin when they meet Fiorentina this week?

Milan’s league struggles have been confounded with their lack of European football. They dropped out of the Europa League to focus on Serie A, but having extra prep time hasn’t helped them to gain results so far. They’ve beaten two promoted sides so far, losing the rest of their clashes.

Fiorentina are a side on the up, following their poor 2018/19 campaign. The visitors come here in 15th place, but they’ve started to turn things around. A much needed midweek victory over Sampdoria has them moving in the right direction, while they have landed this trip to San Siro at the perfect time.

Fiorentina may have started the season with back to back defeats, but their last three games have been more impressive. They first played Juventus off the park in a 0-0 draw, while they were minutes away from a win at Atalanta. They stepped it up with Wednesday’s victory, which lifted them away from the bottom three.

AC Milan are vulnerable here, despite having one of the best defensive records in Serie A in 2019. The hosts are struggling to score goals, with just three to their name so far. A 4% shot conversion rate just isn’t good enough for a club the size of Milan, while it offers a chance to Fiorentina as they look to continue their turnaround.

Milan head into this clash with under 2.5 goals landing in five of their last six matches. They’ve also seen fewer than three scored in three of their last four clashes with Fiorentina. Last term the pair shared two 1-0 away wins in their league meetings, so this could easily be another low scoring encounter.

We are going with under 2.5 goals as our tip for this clash, with Fiorentina gaining in confidence. They’re the only side to hold Juventus without conceding this term, so they should be able to stop a goal-shy Milan outfit. With confidence low among the Rossoneri, we are backing the hosts to struggle up front. That has us backing fewer than three goals, while we’re going with a 1-0 away win.

Predicted Lineups

Line ups are predicted by our Team News Analysts
AC Milan
4-3-3
Fiorentina
3-5-2
Predicted Starting XI's
AC Milan
Fiorentina
G. Donnarumma
DrA...gowski
Conti
Milenkovic
Musacchio
Pezzella
Romagnoli
Caceres
Rodriguez
Pol Lirola
Kessie
Pulgar
Biglia
Badelj
Calhanoglu
Castrovilli
Suso
Dalbert Henrique
Piatek
Chiesa
Rebic
Ribery
Subs
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Bennacer
Benassi
Bonaventura
Boateng
Borini
Ceccherini
Calabria
Cristoforo
Gabbia
Ghezzal
Hernandez
Ranieri
Leo Duarte
Sottil
Rafael Leao
Terracciano
Samu Castillejo
Venuti
Soncin
Vlahovic
Doubtful
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Paqueta (Injured)
Pedro (Injured)
Unavailable
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Caldara (Injured)
Rasmussen (Injured)
Pepe Reina (Suspended)

More Italy Serie A Fixtures

Form

Form Summary

AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
Overall
PWDL
5203
Home
2101
Away
3102
Overall
PWDL
5122
Home
3111
Away
2011

Recent Competition Form

AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
2-1 v Torino (A)
L
2-1 v Sampdoria (H)
W
0-2 v Internazionale (H)
L
2-2 v Atalanta (A)
D
0-1 v Verona (A)
W
0-0 v Juventus (H)
D
1-0 v Brescia (H)
W
2-1 v Genoa (A)
L
1-0 v Udinese (A)
L
3-4 v Napoli (H)
L
3Goals Scored8
5Goals Conceded9
1/5 (20%)Over 2.5 Goals4/5 (80%)
1/5 (20%)Both Teams Scored4/5 (80%)
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0-2 v Internazionale (H)
L
2-1 v Sampdoria (H)
W
1-0 v Brescia (H)
W
0-0 v Juventus (H)
D
3-4 v Napoli (H)
L
1Goals Scored5
2Goals Conceded5
0/2 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals2/3 (67%)
0/2 (0%)Both Teams Scored2/3 (67%)
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
2-1 v Torino (A)
L
2-2 v Atalanta (A)
D
0-1 v Verona (A)
W
2-1 v Genoa (A)
L
1-0 v Udinese (A)
L
2Goals Scored3
3Goals Conceded4
1/3 (33%)Over 2.5 Goals2/2 (100%)
1/3 (33%)Both Teams Scored2/2 (100%)
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
2-1 v Torino (A)
L
2-1 v Sampdoria (H)
W
0-2 v Internazionale (H)
L
2-2 v Atalanta (A)
D
0-1 v Verona (A)
W
0-0 v Juventus (H)
D
1-0 v Brescia (H)
W
2-1 v Genoa (A)
L
1-0 v Udinese (A)
L
3-4 v Napoli (H)
L
3Goals Scored8
5Goals Conceded9
1/5 (20%)Over 2.5 Goals4/5 (80%)
1/5 (20%)Both Teams Scored4/5 (80%)
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)

H2H

AC Milan badge
WonDrawnWon
433
Fiorentina badge
13
Goals Scored
9
Over 2.5 Goals 3/10 (30%)
Both Teams To Score 5/10 (50%)
Previous Meetings (Last 10)
11.05.19 Fiorentina Fiorentina badge 0-1 Milan badge Milan
22.12.18 Milan Milan badge 0-1 Fiorentina badge Fiorentina
20.05.18 Milan Milan badge 5-1 Fiorentina badge Fiorentina
30.12.17 Fiorentina Fiorentina badge 1-1 Milan badge Milan
19.02.17 Milan Milan badge 2-1 Fiorentina badge Fiorentina
25.09.16 Fiorentina Fiorentina badge 0-0 Milan badge Milan
17.01.16 Milan Milan badge 2-0 Fiorentina badge Fiorentina
23.08.15 Fiorentina Fiorentina badge 2-0 Milan badge Milan
16.03.15 Fiorentina Fiorentina badge 2-1 Milan badge Milan
26.10.14 Milan Milan badge 1-1 Fiorentina badge Fiorentina

Tables

League Table

PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Internazionale6600132+1118
2Juventus6510115+616
3Atalanta6411159+613
4Napoli5302139+49
5Cagliari530285+39
6Torino530287+19
7Roma5221109+18
8Bologna522176+18
9Lazio521274+37
10Brescia520367-16
11Parma520357-26
12Milan520335-26
13Lecce5203611-56
14Sassuolo62041112-16
15Fiorentina512289-15
16Verona512234-15
17Genoa512279-25
18Udinese511325-34
19SPAL6105513-83
20Sampdoria6105414-103
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Internazionale330060+69
2Juventus330084+49
3Sassuolo320185+36
4Torino320154+16
5Lazio211031+24
6Roma31117704
7Fiorentina31115504
8Genoa31113304
9Napoli210121+13
10Cagliari31024403
11Bologna21012203
12Milan210112-13
13SPAL310257-23
14Udinese310224-23
14Parma310224-23
15Sampdoria310226-43
16Verona302112-12
17Atalanta201145-11
18Brescia200246-20
19Lecce200215-40
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Atalanta4400114+712
2Internazionale330072+59
3Juventus321031+27
4Napoli3201118+36
5Cagliari220041+36
6Brescia320121+16
7Lecce320156-16
8Bologna312054+15
9Roma211032+14
10Lazio310243+13
11Parma21013303
11Torino21013303
12Verona21012203
13Milan310223-13
14Fiorentina201134-11
15Udinese201101-11
16Genoa201146-21
17Sassuolo300337-40
18Sampdoria300328-60
19SPAL300306-60

Scores Vs Opponents

PosTeamHomeAway
1Internazionale0-29th Feb
2Juventus11th Apr10th Nov
3Atalanta10th May22nd Dec
4Napoli23rd Nov19th Apr
5Cagliari24th May12th Jan
6Torino16th Feb2-1
7Roma15th Mar27th Oct
8Bologna26th Apr8th Dec
9Lazio3rd Nov5th Apr
10Brescia1-026th Jan
11Parma22nd Apr1st Dec
12MilanN/AN/A
13Lecce20th Oct8th Mar
14Sassuolo15th Dec3rd May
15Fiorentina29th Sep23rd Feb
16Verona2nd Feb0-1
17Genoa1st Mar5th Oct
18Udinese19th Jan1-0
19SPAL31st Oct22nd Mar
20Sampdoria5th Jan17th May
PosTeamHomeAway
1Internazionale15th Dec3rd May
2Juventus0-02nd Feb
3Atalanta9th Feb2-2
4Napoli3-419th Jan
5Cagliari11th Apr10th Nov
6Torino26th Apr8th Dec
7Roma22nd Dec10th May
8Bologna17th May5th Jan
9Lazio27th Oct15th Mar
10Brescia8th Mar21st Oct
11Parma3rd Nov5th Apr
12Milan23rd Feb29th Sep
13Lecce30th Nov22nd Apr
14Sassuolo22nd Mar30th Oct
15FiorentinaN/AN/A
16Verona19th Apr24th Nov
17Genoa26th Jan2-1
18Udinese6th Oct1st Mar
19SPAL12th Jan24th May
20Sampdoria2-116th Feb

Stats

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Stats

Powered by
  • AC Milan secured a victory in their last Serie A meeting against Fiorentina: they could win consecutive league games against the Viola for their first time since the 2010-11 season (seven).
  • AC Milan have drawn just one of their last 11 home games against Fiorentina in Serie A, winning six and losing four of those matches.
  • Fiorentina have picked up the fewest away points (two) among sides who have played at least eight games on the road in the big-5 European leagues since March.
  • Fiorentina won their last Serie A game: the last time the Viola earned two wins in a row in the competition was December 2018, the second game coming against Milan.
  • Fiorentina have won just one of their last 10 away games against teams from Lombardia in Serie A, with three draws and six defeats in this period: in the previous 10 such fixtures they had won seven times (D1 L2).
  • Defeat against Inter in their last Serie A home game for Milan means that the Rossoneri could suffer back-to-back home league losses for the first time since May 2017.
  • AC Milan have lost three of their first five Serie A games in a single season for only the second time in the three points-per-win era, last doing so in 2012-13.
  • Fiorentina manager Vincenzo Montella – who took charge of AC Milan for 52 Serie A games between 2016 and 2017 – has lost each of his last three league meetings against the Rossoneri (failing to score in two of such these games).
  • AC Milan midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu has scored three goals against Fiorentina in Serie A, more than any other side in the Italian top-flight – he has also delivered three assists against the Tuscans.
  • Against Sampdoria, Federico Chiesa scored his first league goal this season: only once previously has the Fiorentina striker found the net in two consecutive appearances in Serie A, doing so in January 2017.

How we calculate our stats

Our stats are based on games this season. Games played this season: 10
(5 by AC Milan) and (5 by Fiorentina)

Goals

AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
20%
BTTS (%)
80%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
80%
40%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
80%
20%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
80%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
40%
0.6
Average Goals For
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
40%
Cleansheet (%)
20%
40%
Failed to Score (%)
20%
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0%
BTTS (%)
67%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
67%
50%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
67%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
33%
0.5
Average Goals For
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
50%
Cleansheet (%)
33%
50%
Failed to Score (%)
33%
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
33%
BTTS (%)
100%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
33%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
100%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
100%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
50%
0.67
Average Goals For
1.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
33%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
33%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
20%
BTTS (%)
80%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
80%
40%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
80%
20%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
80%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
40%
0.6
Average Goals For
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
40%
Cleansheet (%)
20%
40%
Failed to Score (%)
20%
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%

Goalscorers

AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
Top Goalscorers
Krzysztof Piatek
2
2
Erick Pulgar
Hakan Calhanoglu
1
1
Kevin-Prince Boateng
First Goalscorers
Krzysztof Piatek
2
1
Erick Pulgar
Hakan Calhanoglu
1
1
Germán Pezzella

Cards & Corners

AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
4
Average Cards For
3
Player Cards
Hakan Calhanoglu
2
2
Kevin-Prince Boateng
Lucas Paquetá
2
2
Germán Pezzella
Davide Calabria
2
2
Pol Lirola
5
Average Corners For
5
5
Average Corners Against
5

Goal Margins

AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge
Total1234+
W2000
L2100
Total1234+
W1000
L2000
Home1234+
W1000
L0100
Home1234+
W1000
L1000
Away1234+
W1000
L2000
Away1234+
W0000
L1000

Goal Timings

AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge

First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge

Home First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Home Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
AC Milan badge Fiorentina badge

Away First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Away Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
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Odds

BookieHome WinDrawAway WinOffer
BookieYesNoOffer
BookieHome & YesAway & YesOffer
BookieUnder 0.5Over 0.5Under 1.5Over 1.5Under 2.5Over 2.5Under 3.5Over 3.5Under 4.5Over 4.5Under 5.5Over 5.5Under 6.5Over 6.5Under 7.5Over 7.5Under 8.5Over 8.5Under 9.5Over 9.5Offer
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A N/A
AC Milan badge
0
Fiorentina badge
0
BookieOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOffer
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
N/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A