Everton vs Crystal Palace Predictions
Published on 7:26pm GMT 3 October 2025
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Reasoning
Everton vs Crystal Palace Predictions
- Everton are winless in four, generating 0.7 xG in each of their last two league outings
- The Toffees failed to beat any top-half side at home last term
- Palace have generated 11.3 xG across their last five in the league and Europe
- The Eagles went into the weekend only behind Arsenal in terms of Expected Points across the league
Brilliant week for Palace
Crystal Palace followed up a deserved win over champions Liverpool with a landmark, beating Dynamo Kyiv in their opening game in the Conference League’s opening round.
Palace continued their impressive unbeaten run, while they head to Merseyside having won their last three games. There are doubts around Palace’s ability to juggle multiple competitions, but a single midweek game might not be enough to throw off their rhythm.
Toffees look vulnerable
In all the excitement around Everton’s new stadium and their attacking additions, their struggles have gone a little under the radar. They lost the xG battle 2.4 to 1.6 in their victory over Brighton, which was their first outing at their new ground.
That was followed by a victory at a struggling Wolves side, but Everton are now winless in four – a run which includes a 2-0 cup defeat at Wolves. Everton have recorded just 1.4 xG across their previous two league games, drawing 1-1 at home to West Ham on Monday night.
Ultimately, the Toffees are looking a little stagnant in attack, while they are conceding chances. Given their winless return at home to top-half sides last term, Palace could cause them some problems.
Eagles are underrated
While Palace are getting credit for their unbeaten run, it does really do justice to just how well they are playing. Glasner’s side created so many openings against Liverpool last week, recording seven big chances from 16 shots at goal. Across their previous five games in the league and Europe, they’ve generated an xG of 11.3.
Only Arsenal have recorded more Expected Points through six games, while they head to an Everton side who aren’t fully reliable. The Eagles are performing like a genuinely top Premier League side, but both Brighton and Aston Villa went off at shorter prices away to Everton than Palace, who are above 2/1 in places.
Glasner’s side have won three from six, including two wins in three on the road, while they arguably deserved more from each of their three draws. They’re creating great chances, while Everton look blunt in attack. Palace won 3-0 at Aston Villa after a Thursday night trip to Norway for a Conference League qualifer in August, so their midweek trip shouldn’t put us off taking a great price for their brilliant form to continue.
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