Arsenal vs Burnley Predictions

• 11 of Arsenal’s 14 home league wins have featured fewer than four goals
• The Gunners have failed to score more than once in 10 of their last 11 matches
• Arteta’s side have seen 2.83 goals scored per home game in the league
• Burnley have conceded more than three times on only three occasions this season

Title is within reach of Gunners

Arsenal can move five points clear of Manchester City just six days shy of the final day of the season when they host Burnley on Monday night.

The Gunners could win the title as early as Tuesday with a win over Burnley and a slip-up from Man City at Bournemouth.

After overcoming their toughest remaining fixture in dramatic fashion at West Ham last weekend, Mikel Arteta’s men take to the field on Monday with the league title firmly within their grasp.

Perfect finale for Arsenal

Arsenal have the perfect final two games to sign off their league campaign, as they host arguably the worst side in the division before heading to a distracted Crystal Palace.

These two clashes looked like perfect opportunities for Arsenal to boost their goal difference when they were neck-and-neck with City. However, their two-point lead makes goal difference irrelevant, as long as the Gunners secure six points.

Based on how Arsenal’s form has been of late, it’s probably for the best that they aren’t in a shoot-out with City. They’ve only scored more than once in one of their last 11 fixtures, a 3-0 win over a Fulham side that didn’t really show up. They remain the best defence in the league, and facing two of the four lowest scoring sides should suit them perfectly.

However, that could mean that Monday’s game is a lower-scoring clash than the odds suggest.

Gunners to grind out victory

11 of Arsenal’s 14 home wins this term have featured fewer than four goals, and their recent lack of scoring output suggests this can come in beneath that number.

Burnley have conceded four goals on only three occasions this season. They’ve got a good scoring record away to the league’s top sides, but they’ll struggle to break through an Arsenal side that has kept a clean sheet in their last five league victories.

The Gunners’ home matches have averaged 2.83 goals per game, and with nerves starting to get to them, this could be a tense clash. That was clear in their 1-0 win at West Ham, where the focus was on the points, rather than running away with the scoreline.

Viktor Gyokeres should be able to help Arsenal to a breakthrough against a dogged Burnley side. The Swede has scored six goals across four meetings with the promoted sides, and he’s scored in three of their last four home fixtures.