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Burnley vs Brighton Predictions

  • 14:00
  • Expired
  • Turf Moor
Burnley
Brighton

Brighton to Win

7/5odds when tipped
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Brighton 2-0

11/1odds when tipped
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Burnley vs Brighton Predictions

  • Burnley lost seven of their last nine Premier League games last season.
  • Brighton are unbeaten against Burnley in their last four meetings.
  • Burnley lost to nil in each of their final three top-flight games last season.

Clarets in for a season of struggle

Burnley have been touted for the drop by many pundits this season and while we steered clear of them in our relegation predictions there’s no doubting that Sean Dyche is in for another incredibly tough season at Turf Moor.

The Clarets are consistently one of the lowest spending clubs in the Premier League and the strain is beginning to show. They lost seven of their final nine Premier League games last season to finish 17th and once again their long-serving manager hasn’t been backed in the transfer market.

Expect improvement from Brighton

As far as results go, Brighton weren’t far ahead of Burnley last season but that two-point gap between the sides doesn’t really tell the whole story. The Seagulls were actually very impressive for large parts of the season but poor finishing let them down.

They were far below their expected goals (xG) tally and according to the expected points metric they should have finished fifth. That might be stretching it a bit, but there’s no denying that Graham Potter’s side are a much better outfit than their results suggested last season.

The loss of Ben White to Arsenal will need overcoming, of course, but new midfielder Enock Mwepu should provide better service to their strikers and if Neal Maupay and Danny Welbeck can up their finishing game Brighton could be in for a vastly improved season.

Seagulls to get off to a flyer

They couldn’t hope for a more favourable opening few fixtures, either, and I’m expecting them to make a good start to ease the pressure on Potter.

Brighton haven’t lost to Burnley in any of their last four meetings and the Clarets are winless in their last ten home Premier League games.

The return of fans to Turf Moor could play a role, but I still fancy Brighton to take all three points at these prices and with Burnley conceding eight and scoring none in their final three games last season backing a 2-0 correct score prediction also appeals.

Burnley predicted lineup: Pope / Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor / Brownhill, Westwood, Cork, McNeil / Vydra, Wood

Brighton predicted lineup: Sanchez / Veltman, Dunk, Webster / Mwepu, Gross, Bissouma, March / Lallana, Allister / Connolly


  • Brighton have scored the opening goal in three of the last four Premier League meetings with these opponents
  • Six of Brighton’s last eight Premier League games have ended with under 2.5 goals

Spotlight Insights combine the best data and editorial expertise to give you an extra angle.

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