Chelsea vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

20:00
  • Expired
  • Wed 17 Mar
Chelsea
Atletico Madrid
  • BT Sport 2

Under 2.5 Match Goals

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Chelsea 1-0

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Tip Reasoning

  • Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 11 of Chelsea’s last 12 fixtures.
  • Chelsea have kept five clean sheets in a row at Stamford Bridge.
  • Under 2.5 goals has landed in six of Atletico Madrid’s last seven matches.
  • Chelsea beat Atletico 1-0 in the teams’ first-leg clash last month.

Chelsea rock solid at the back

Chelsea leaned on the solid defensive foundations laid by new manager Thomas Tuchel to claim a 1-0 first-leg lead over Atletico Madrid last month, and the Blues can use their robust rearguard as a springboard for success when the teams meet again in London on Wednesday.

Tuchel has yet to taste defeat as Chelsea’s head coach, a full 12 matches into his tenure, and the Blues’ clean sheet at Leeds on Saturday was their fifth in a row and their tenth overall since the German was appointed.

At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea have yet to concede a single goal since the ex-PSG boss took the reins, and another shutout this week will see the club into the Champions League quarter-finals.

Atletico hit a bumpy patch

Atletico Madrid’s standards have been slipping recently meanwhile, and Diego Simeone’s side have won just three of their last nine fixtures in all competitions.

The La Liga leaders were comfortably second-best when they hosted Chelsea in the Spanish capital last month, and having drawn a blank against Getafe at the weekend, confidence in their camp could be low ahead of their trip to London.

Few goals likely at Stamford Bridge

While Chelsea’s defensive improvements under Tuchel have been notable, the team haven’t quite clicked further up the pitch, and the Blues have been involved in plenty of low-scoring games as a result.

11 of Chelsea’s 12 fixtures with Tuchel in charge produced under 2.5 goals – including their encounter with Atletico last month – and the same market appeals for Wednesday’s return leg.

Diego Simeone’s side aren’t known for their expansive football, so expect them to stay compact and deep at Stamford Bridge, however, we’re tipping Chelsea to eventually oust their Spanish opponents in our 1-0 correct score prediction.

The Blues have been superb at the back on their own patch since Tuchel entered the dugout, and they haven’t conceded in their last 560 minutes of football in West London. Chelsea proved their superiority against Atletico last month, and they can do the same, albeit by another narrow margin, in the second-leg.

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