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Chelsea vs Luton Predictions

Published on 7:00pm GMT 25 August 2023

  • 19:00
  • Expired
  • Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Luton
  • Sky Sports Main Event

Over 2.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Chelsea and Luton’s three combined games so far have produced 11 goals and neither team looks confident at the back. Chelsea are without a clean sheet in 13 competitive games but have improved going forward under Mauricio Pochettino, while Luton shipped four goals at Brighton and their opponents also hit the woodwork three times.

8/15odds when tipped
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Chelsea 3-1

Reason for tip

Chelsea have generated 3.54 expected goals in their opening two games and Luton shipped four at Brighton in their opener. These two sides met in the FA Cup in 2021 and 2022 and Chelsea scored three goals on both occasions, including a 3-1 triumph at Stamford Bridge.

11/1odds when tipped
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Nicolas Jackson To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Nicolas Jackson has been an attacking threat throughout his first two games at Chelsea, averaging three shots per game and generating 1.14 expected goals. He can open his Blues account on Friday.

21/20odds when tipped
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Chelsea vs Luton Predictions

  • Chelsea and Luton’s three combined games have produced 11 goals.
  • Chelsea are without a clean sheet in 13 competitive games.
  • Nicolas Jackson has generated 1.14 expected goals in his first two Chelsea matches.

Blues make shaky start under Poch

Stamford Bridge’s Pochettino era has not got off to the greatest of starts but Chelsea should be able to get their first win on the board in a high-scoring affair against the newly-promoted Luton.

The Blues, after a shaky start, put in a solid performance against Liverpool in their opener but failed to impress against West Ham last weekend, losing 3-1 despite the Hammers having a man sent off with half-an-hour remaining.

They continued to look dangerous going forward, even after goalscorer Carney Chukwuemeka was forced off through injury, but their defensive issues remain unsolved and that will be something Luton will hope to capitalise on.

Expect goals at Stamford Bridge

The Hatters lost their first top-flight match in over 30 years at Brighton but it wasn’t all doom and gloom for the relegation favourites. Their directness in attack caused the Seagulls some problems and they should be able to do the same against fragile Chelsea back line.

These teams’ combined three matches have produced 11 goals and I expect another high-scoring affair on Friday. Chelsea are without a clean sheet in 13 competitive games but have looked much more dangerous going forward under Pochettino, while Luton were torn apart by Brighton a couple of weeks back, shipping four goals and seeing their opponents hit the woodwork three times. I’m backing over 2.5 goals for this one.

Jackson can guide hosts to victory

I do expect the hosts to get their first win under their belt, though. They have generated 3.54 expected goals across their first two games and scored three goals against Luton in both of their FA Cup encounters over the last couple of years, making a 3-1 correct score prediction appeal.

Anytime goalscorer punters should expect Nicolas Jackson to open his Chelsea account, too. The young striker has been a threat throughout over the opening two games, averaging three shots per game and generating 1.14 expected goals. This could be his best chance to get on the scoresheet.


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