Derby vs Swansea City Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Previews

15:00
14
Pride Park

Derby

Swansea City

Derby to Win

Reason for tip

Derby County are worth siding with at Pride Park against a Swansea side that simply cannot buy a result on the road. The visitors have lost seven of their last nine away league games and confidence looks fragile. Derby, by contrast, have been ultra-consistent in front of goal, scoring in 24 of their last 25 Championship matches. With just three points separating the sides despite Derby sitting higher, home advantage and attacking reliability give the Rams the edge.

6/5odds when tipped

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Derby 1-0

Reason for tip

This has the feel of a tight contest rather than a shootout. Nine of Derby’s 12 league wins have come by a single goal, showing they know how to manage narrow leads. Swansea City have also been beaten by the odd goal in ten of their 13 defeats, which points strongly towards another fine-margin outcome. Given Swansea’s away issues and Derby’s scoring streak, a controlled 1-0 home win stands out as the most logical correct-score play.

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Derby can capitalise on Swansea’s away struggles

“Derby should be backed to beat Swansea at home in the Championship on Saturday. The visitors have lost seven of their last nine away games and Derby manager John Eustace will be hopeful of getting a result against Vitor Matos’ side.

They are four places above Swansea in the table, but just three points separate the two teams. The hosts are 11th with 12 wins, nine draws and ten losses, while Swansea are 15th with 12 wins, six draws and 13 defeats.

Derby will be bullish about their chances of scoring, having found the net in 24 of their last 25 league games. It’s been 21 matches since they last failed to score.

A narrow 1-0 win for Derby looks the most likely outcome. Nine of their 12 Championship victories this season have come by a single goal, and ten of Swansea’s 13 reverses have ended the same way.”