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SA Spurs -4.5
@ MIA Heat
Reason for tip

Miami’s defense cannot be trusted here. They’ve allowed 120+ in 4 straight, all four losses vs Playoff bound teams. San Antonio is in solid rhythm with 5 consecutive wins, Victor Wembanyama will be a match-up nightmare for the Heat here. The Spurs are 4-1 ATS vs East teams in 5 games and they’ve won 9 of 10 on the road. Back San Antonio.

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SA Spurs -4.5
@ MIA Heat
Reason for tip

Miami’s defense cannot be trusted here. They’ve allowed 120+ in 4 straight, all four losses vs Playoff bound teams. San Antonio is in solid rhythm with 5 consecutive wins, Victor Wembanyama will be a match-up nightmare for the Heat here. The Spurs are 4-1 ATS vs East teams in 5 games and they’ve won 9 of 10 on the road. Back San Antonio.

DAL Mavericks +2.0
vs GS Warriors
Reason for tip

The number is telling and it is also a fade of Golden State’s recent profile. The Warriors are 33-38, have lost eight of nine, and are just 6-15 SU without Stephen Curry. Dallas is bad at 23-48, but it has continued competing and just took the Clippers to overtime on Saturday. At home, with effort still intact, Dallas is the better gamble. The line all but says Golden State cannot be trusted here.

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SA Spurs -4.5
@ MIA Heat
Reason for tip

Miami’s defense cannot be trusted here. They’ve allowed 120+ in 4 straight, all four losses vs Playoff bound teams. San Antonio is in solid rhythm with 5 consecutive wins, Victor Wembanyama will be a match-up nightmare for the Heat here. The Spurs are 4-1 ATS vs East teams in 5 games and they’ve won 9 of 10 on the road. Back San Antonio.

DAL Mavericks +2.0
vs GS Warriors
Reason for tip

The number is telling and it is also a fade of Golden State’s recent profile. The Warriors are 33-38, have lost eight of nine, and are just 6-15 SU without Stephen Curry. Dallas is bad at 23-48, but it has continued competing and just took the Clippers to overtime on Saturday. At home, with effort still intact, Dallas is the better gamble. The line all but says Golden State cannot be trusted here.

POR Trail Blazers -15.0
vs BKN Nets
Reason for tip

The Portland Trail Blazers face the Brooklyn Nets in a heavily one sided matchup. Portland averages 115.1 PPG and has already beaten Brooklyn by 19 points, while thriving 9-5 ATS on no rest. The Nets, scoring just 107.0 PPG and going 3-9 ATS in similar spots, continue to struggle with injuries and inconsistency.

MIL Bucks +13.0
@ LA Clippers
Reason for tip

LA just ended a 4-game slide with a win in OT vs Dallas. Both teams are hit hard by the injury bug, but despite all their woes the Bucks still have a stable three-point shot which could allow them to say in this game. They’ve hit 20+ threes twice in 4 games, while averaging 18.5 per game. I’m hoping they can continue hitting them and cover as road underdogs here.

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