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- Manchester City beat Leeds 7-0 in the reverse fixture.
- Five of City’s last six away wins have been by two or more goals.
- Leeds have lost seven home games in the league and five of those losses have been by two or more goals.
- Gabriel Jesus has five goals in his last two games.
Improving Leeds unlikely to derail City’s title bid
Manchester City thrashed Leeds 7-0 when these sides met at the Etihad Stadium in December and can run out comfortable winners when the pair face off in West Yorkshire this weekend.
City do have the second leg of their finely poised Champions League semi-final to come at Real Madrid next week and as such Pep Guardiola may opt to rotate.
However, the visitors have plenty of strength in depth and can win with room to spare in the late kick off on Saturday.
Handicap markets stand out
Understandably, City are the heavy favourites to come away with all three points so to squeeze a bit more value out of this clash I’m backing the visitors to cover a -1 handicap.
Leeds have looked more solid at the back under Jesse Marsch and are unbeaten in their last five games – but they haven’t faced a top seven team during that run, while they were arguably lucky to escape with a 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace last time out.
City may well have to win to move back to the top of the table as Liverpool play earlier in the day, and they have covered a -1 handicap in five of their last six away wins.
In-form Jesus a scorer option
Guardiola will make a few changes but Gabriel Jesus should retain his starting spot after scoring against Real in midweek, following his four-goal showing against Watford last weekend.
A goal for the Brazilian looks a reasonable anytime scorer option and a 4-0 win for the visitors is the correct score selection. City have scored 12 goals across their last three games and have only conceded one goal in their last eight away from home.
Leeds predicted lineup: Meslier; Ayling, Llorente, Cooper, Dallas, Klich, Phillips; Raphinha, Rodrigo, Harrison, James
Man City predicted lineup: Ederson, Cancelo, Dias, Laporte, Zinchenko; Gundogan, Rodri, Fernandinho, Jesus, Grealish, Sterling
- Leeds have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine home games
- Two of Manchester City’s last three Premier League games have produced over 3.5 goals
Spotlight Insights combine the best data and editorial expertise to give you an extra angle.
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