Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV Betting Tips and Predictions

13:30
Expired
Coface Arena

Mainz

Hamburg

Mainz 05 stand sixth in the Bundesliga with a five-point cushion on eight-placed FC Koln, despite last Sunday’s disappointing 2-1 defeat at Rhine-Main derby rivals Eintracht Frankfurt. Mainz look to solidify their position for UEFA Europa League qualification as Martin Schmidt’s team have slipped in the past weeks, coming into this match after back-to-back losses in the league and with only one win in their last seven (W1 D3 L3).

Hamburger SV journey to Mainz with eight points separating the two sides in the table. Hamburg will be delighted with last Friday’s 2-1 win over North-German rivals Werder Bremen in the “Nordderby”, which put them six points above the relegation zone. However, that win should only serve as a distraction away from their otherwise poor recent form (W2 L4 from their last six) that has threatened their beloved “record” of being the only team to be ever-present in the Bundesliga.

Mainz’s defeat against Eintracht Frankfurt was the first time they have lost two consecutive matches in 2016 – Mainz have never suffered three consecutive defeats under coach Martin Schmidt. Mainz failed to keep their lead in both of these losses (one goal lead against Frankfurt and two goal lead against Koln) but, despite their disappointing current form, scoring goals has not been a problem. Mainz have averaged 1.8 goals per game over their last five matches in the Bundesliga and two goals or more in four of their last five home matches (W3 D1 L1). Contrastingly, Hamburg have been very prone to errors defensively and have conceded two or more in three of their last five matches in the Bundesliga. Mainz’s strong home and goal-scoring form makes them the favourites for this match and combining the above analysis with the statistics below, we expect this trend to continue. Mainz to score 2 or more goals and a result of Mainz 2-1 at 15/2 both look to be strong bets for this match.