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Montpellier vs Lyon Predictions

  • 16:00
  • Expired
  • Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier
Lyon

Montpellier Double Chance (Win or Draw)

11/10odds when tipped
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£20.00
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Draw 1-1

15/2odds when tipped
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Montpellier vs Lyon Predictions

  • Montpellier have beaten Lyon on the last three occasions they have met.
  • Montpellier have won four and drawn two at home since their opening weekend defeat to Marseille in August.
  • Lyon have lost three of their last four away Ligue 1 fixtures.

No value about Lyon for Montpellier trip  

The oddsmakers are very keen on Lyon to annexe all thee points at Montpellier this weekend, but the value could lie with the hosts to avoid defeat,

Admittedly, Lyon have a squad that reeks of quality and their away performances in the Europa League have been brilliant.

But the underlying stats from their domestic away games state they are no better than their record of one win, one draw and four defeats suggests.

Their opponents had greater xG numbers in all but one of those games and it was actually around double the figure Lyon produced in the majority of occasions.

Just as persuasive a case for Montpellier to avoid defeat here can be made by delving into their xG numbers at home, where they have come out on top in their last six contests during which time they won four and drew two.

The return of Moussa Dembele to the Lyon attack could make a big difference of course as Peter Bosz’s side have missed someone of his all-round ability to lead the line. Lucas Paqueta has done a decent job of late, but he lacks the pace to stretch teams.

It’s also well worth stating that Montpellier’s most creative player Teji Savanier is suspended for this game and that will also be factored into the odds. But still, Montpellier are more than a one-man team and showed they can beat a top team without Savanier when overcoming Nice on their own patch at the start of  November.

La Paillade’s recent record against Lyon also offers encouragement for a positive home result, but even though that might lead to backing the hosts to win, we think the double chance price is attractive enough.

A 2-2 draw may have a good chance in correct score betting too given the hosts have scored at least twice in five of seven home games and Lyon’s record of shipping 13 in six away games.


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