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Napoli vs Lazio Predictions

TV
Italy Serie A | Stadio San Paolo | 1st August
Napoli badge
Napoli
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
Lazio badge
Lazio
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Napoli vs Lazio predictions ahead of this clash in Serie A on Saturday night. Can the hosts finish on a high ahead of their big European clash later this month? Read on for our free Serie A predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Napoli Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 8/13

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Napoli 3-2 @ 16/1

Reason For Napoli vs Lazio Predictions

  • Lazio have lost six of their last 10 visits to this ground
  • Napoli have scored twice in each of their last eight home games
  • The Partenopei have scored two or more on 12 occasions at home this term
  • Simone Inzaghi has lost all four final day games as Lazio boss, his side have conceded three goals in each of those defeats

Napoli growing with Gattuso

Back to back away losses have left Napoli down in seventh place, but the end to their campaign has been strong. They kicked off the restart by winning the Coppa Italia, while they have their huge clash with Barcelona coming up. Given how Barca ended the season, there’s a real confidence from Gennaro Gattuso’s side.

A perfect way to build more confidence for the cup winners would be to claim a final day success over a Lazio side who spent most of the campaign pushing for the title. The visitors have looked short of the required fitness in the last six weeks, so that should allow an opening for Napoli. However, with Lazio Ciro Immobile chasing the golden boot and the record number of goals in a season, this could easily be a thriller.

Lazio’s Naples struggle

Having lost five of 11 games since the restart, Lazio won’t want a trip to the San Paolo next. Napoli have won 49 Serie A games against Lazio – more than against any other opponent. That’s been reflected in their recent meetings in Naples, as Napoli have lost only one of their last 10 home games against Lazio (W6 D3).

Before losing the reverse fixture back in December – Napoli had won five league games in a row against Lazio. The last time that Lazio won both games against the Partenopei in the same Serie A season was in 1993/94. With Napoli looking sharp, we don’t see that wait coming to an end.

Napoli on scoring streak

To make matters worse for the visitors, they come into this game facing a side who are full of confidence in front of goal. Napoli have scored at least two goals in each of their last eight home games, while they’ve found the net at least twice on 12 occasions at home this season. That fine scoring form has seen them put two past Juve, Atalanta, Roma and Milan here. Meanwhile, Atalanta, Juventus and even Lecce have scored twice at home to Lazio since the restart. As a result, our first prediction is over 1.5 Napoli goals.

Lazio have always lost their final game of the season under Simone Inzaghi so far (4/4) conceding at least three goals in each match. That’s unlikely to get better, as Inzaghi has won only one of his seven games against Napoli as a manager in Serie A (D1 L5) and against Napoli he has his worst average points per game ratio so far (0.57). As a result, we’re going with a 3-2 Napoli win in our correct score prediction.


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