Newport County vs Cambridge United Predictions

• Newport have won 6 of their last 7 matches against Cambridge.
• Newport have won 4 of their last 6 matches in all competitions.
• Cambridge have lost 4 of their last 6 league games.
• Newport have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 6 matches and Cambridge have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.

Newport are the form favourites heading into Saturday’s clash

Newport narrowly lost 1-0 away at title-challengers Plymouth last weekend while Cambridge secured a 2-1 victory at home against promotion hopefuls Colchester, meaning the gap between the two clubs was reduced to just 4pts. Newport have an excellent recent record against Cambridge, winning six of the pairs’ last seven encounters, and head into this weekends’ clash as the clear form favourites with four wins and two defeats from their last six matches.

The hosts have been in good form defensively as well, keeping three clean sheets in their last six attempts, while Cambridge have tended to struggle in front of goal, failing to score in four of their last six league games, so you can see why we have backed a 1-0 win for Newport this weekend.

Newport have won seven games at home this season, only losing twice, while Cambridge have already lost seven times on the road and have so far secured a mere three away wins. The hosts average 1.80 points per home game while the visitors average just 0.93 points per away game, with Newport boasting a 47% win ration in their own backyard and Cambridge losing 47% of their away games.

Cambridge have a poor recent record against their hosts

The hosts score an average of 1.13 goals per home game and concede an average of 0.73 goals while Cambridge score an average of 0.87 goals per away game and concede an average of 1.27 goals, which is why we have backed a narrow 1-0 win for Newport this weekend. Only 20% of Newport’s home games have produced over 2.5 goals and the same can be said for 33% of Cambridge’s away games, both of which add further weight to our prediction for a low-scoring final scoreline on Saturday.

Both teams have scored in just 46% of Newport’s home games and 42% of Cambridge’s away games, which suggests that we are more likely to see one side score rather than both this weekend. Newport have kept clean sheets in 40% of their home games this season and Cambridge have failed to score in 53% of their away games, backing up our prediction for a 1-0 home win on Saturday.

Exactly 1-goal has been scored in a massive 40% of Newport’s home games and the hosts have claimed wins with a margin of 1-goal seven times so far this season, while a majority of Cambridge’s defeats (9) have been via a 1-goal margin. We’re confident that Newport will win on Saturday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0. The hosts head into this game as the clear form favourites and with an excellent recent record against their guests. Newport have already won seven home games in League Two and Cambridge have lost seven times on the road, and we expect that trend to continue this weekend.