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Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Predictions

Published on 5:34pm GMT 17 April 2026

  • 13:00
  • 19
  • The City Ground
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
  • Sky Sports+

Over 2.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

11 of Burnley’s 16 away games have seen over 2.5 goals land, with 27 goals scored across their seven meetings with teams in the bottom 10. The Clarets have scored in 13 of their 16 away trips, while Nottingham Forest have scored three times in all of their home victories this term, ahead of this must-win game.

4/5odds when tipped
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Nottingham Forest 3-1

Reason for tip

Forest have scored three times in five of their eight Premier League victories this season, while Burnley head into this game having lost four of their last five matches. The Clarets have lost by two or more in three of their last four, so back a 3-1 victory for Forest.

12/1odds when tipped
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Morgan Gibbs White To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Morgan Gibbs-White has scored in three of his last five Premier League games, while he found the net in their win over Porto in midweek.

15/8odds when tipped
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Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Predictions

  • Burnley have seen over 2.5 goals land in 11 of their 16 away trips this season
  • Forest have scored three times in all of their home meetings this season
  • There have been 27 goals scored across Burnley’s seven visits to bottom 10 teams, with BTTS landing in each

Vital day for Forest

Nottingham Forest secured a place in the last four of the Europa League in midweek, but they need to regroup ahead of a pivotal league fixture. The hosts have visits to Man United, Chelsea, and Sunderland to come, along with home clashes with Bournemouth and Newcastle. That’s not the easiest run-in, so they can’t afford to drop points against Burnley.

The hosts are unbeaten in four Premier League games, with Vitor Pereira improving their fortunes. However, home form remains a concern. Forest have only won three of their 16 Premier League games at the City Ground, having slipped up against West Ham and Wolves.

Burnley are fighting for 19th

Burnley are now 12 points adrift of the drop, with just 18 left to play for. Scott Parker’s side are now just three clear of bottom side Wolves, so holding on to 19th place is their priority for the remainder of the campaign.

Burnley came up advertised as a defensively minded side, who would offer very little going forward. However, they’ve seen over 2.5 goals land in 11 of their 16 away trips, while the Clarets have only failed to score on three occasions on their travels.

Parker’s side have shipped 38 goals on the road, and they’ve let in just shy of two goals per game over the course of the campaign. Their seven visits to fellow bottom-half clubs have featured a total of 27 goals, with BTTS landing on six occasions.

Forest can put on a show

Forest are odds-on for victory, and that price likely factors in their desperation against a Burnley side that has lost four from five, shipping 11 goals. Forest haven’t been great going forward, but they tend to go all-out in victories. They’ve scored three times in all of their home wins this season, and three of their five away victories have featured over 2.5 goals.

Six of Forest’s nine clashes with the bottom three have seen over 2.5 goals land, and BTTS landed in the reverse meeting between these two.

Burnley have proven capable of finding the net on their travels, while this Forest side can rack up the goals against the struggling Clarets. Over 2.5 goals appeals here, with Forest capable of covering that line on their own. The hosts should rely on Morgan Gibbs-White going forward once again, with the England international scoring the winner against Porto in midweek, having struck in three of his last five league games.

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