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Southampton vs Brighton Predictions

England Premier League | St. Marys Stadium | 16th July
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KO 20:15
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Southampton vs Brighton predictions for Thursday’s Premier League contest at St. Mary’s Stadium. Can Southampton stretch their four-match unbeaten run at Brighton’s expense? Read on for all our free Premier League predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 4/5

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Southampton 1-0 @ 15/2

Reason For Southampton vs Brighton Predictions

  • Southampton lost just one of their last six Premier League games.
  • Under 2.5 goals were scored in each of Brighton’s last four Premier League away assignments.
  • Brighton failed to score in two of their last three Premier League away matches.
  • Under 2.5 goals were scored in five of the last six meetings between Southampton and Brighton.

Southampton continue to impress on the road

Southampton have been drawing plaudits for their easy on the eye football and ability to pull off unexpected results this season, though the Saints have been doing most of their best work away from St. Mary’s Stadium.

That was again evident on Monday night, when Southampton snatched a deserved point at the death at Old Trafford in a 2-2 draw with in-form Man Utd thanks to an injury time Michael Obafemi equalizer.

Incredibly, the 12th placed Saints now hold the Premier League’s 4th best away record behind Liverpool, Man City and Chelsea this season – a record that makes their poor form at home all the more remarkable.

Austrian tactician Ralph Hasenhüttl has watched his side flounder on the south coast for the majority of the campaign, and Southampton have collected fewer points on their own patch than every other team bar bottom club Norwich since August.

Brighton torn to shreds again

Brighton warmed up for their trip to Southampton in uninspiring fashion when they were annihilated 5-0 at home by a rampant Manchester City side.

The defeat, which followed hot on the heels of home losses to Man Utd (0-3) and Liverpool (1-3), massively dented Albion’s goal difference, heightening fears that the 15th placed Seagulls could be dragged into a late relegation dogfight.

With a buffer of five points between them and the bottom three, Brighton will know that just one more win should be enough to guarantee their top-flight status, though they look ill-equipped to grab the victory they need at a red-hot Southampton side.

Few goals anticipated

Southampton’s abstruse results at home this season have been largely caused by a distinct lack of goal-scoring thrust at St. Mary’s Stadium.

As we detailed earlier, only bottom club Norwich City have collected fewer points on their own patch this term than Southampton, though it’s also interesting to note that only Crystal Palace have scored fewer times at home than the Saints since August last year.

Southampton are averaging just 1.0 goals per game on home turf in 2019/20, and while that is a notably meagre return, a single strike could be enough to see off Brighton on Thursday.

The Seagulls failed to register in three of their last five Premier League matches, and in two of their last three assignments away from the AMEX Stadium – in fact, under 2.5 goals were plundered in 100% of Albion’s last four tests as the visiting team.

All the factors indicate that Thursday’s game at St. Mary’s Stadium should also be lacking in final third excitement, and after under 2.5 goals hit the net in five of the last six clashes between Southampton and Brighton, we expect their latest tussle to follow suit.

The Saints, buoyed by their display at the Theatre of Dreams, should ultimately be able to force a victory however, and having won their last Premier League home game 1-0 against Manchester City, a similar scoreline is anticipated in our correct score prediction.

Key Battle: Danny Ings vs Lewis Dunk

Brighton centre-half Lewis Drunk has been one of the Seagulls’ standout performers again this season, though the giant defender could have trouble keeping tabs on the quicksilver Danny Ings on Thursday.

Ings’ clever movement and incessant hard-running style works wonders when it comes to pulling defensive units apart, and Dunk, who sometimes lacks mobility, could find it tough to cope.

27-year-old Ings needs just one more goal to push through the 20-goal ceiling for his Premier League campaign, and having notched three times in his last four run outs, the ex-Liverpool forward has momentum behind him.

Southampton vs Brighton team news

Sofiane Boufal, Yan Valery and Moussa Djenepo are still in the treatment room for the Saints, though Ralph Hassenhuttl has a strong squad to choose from elsewhere.

After working their socks off at Old Trafford on Monday, the Saints could be a little fatigued however, and the Austrian coach could shuffle his pack to keep things fresh.

Southampton predicted line-up: McCarthy – Walter-Peters, Bednarek, Stephens, Bertrand – Ward-Prowse, Hojbjerg, Armstrong, Redmond – Long, Ings

Brighton have almost a clean bill of health for their tip to St. Mary’s Stadium with Jose Izquierdo their only confirmed absentee.

Doubts remain over the fitness of Steven Alzate too, though the the Colombian fringe player would be a bench option at best if available.

Dan Burn, Tariq Lamptey, Dale Stephens and Neal Maupay were all rested against Man City and should come back into the Seagulls’ XI on Thursday.

Brighton predicted line-up: Ryan – Lamptey, Webster, Dunk, Burn – Stephens, Bissouma, Propper – Mooy, Trossard – Maupay

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