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Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal Predictions

  • 18:45
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  • Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
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Tottenham Hotspur and Both Teams To Score

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Tottenham Hotspur 3-1

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Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal Predictions

  • Tottenham have won four of their last five at home, scoring 16 goals in the process.
  • Five of the last six North London derbies have seen both teams score.
  • Spurs have never lost to Arsenal at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Simplicity key for Spurs

Tottenham produced a resilient display to hold Liverpool to a draw at Anfield last Saturday, but Arsenal’s 2-1 victory over Leeds 24 hours later means it is advantage the Gunners in the top-four race.

Mikel Arteta’s side are certainly in pole position to secure Champions League football for next season, but they must decide whether they go all-out for a victory on Thursday or sit back and play for the draw.

For Spurs the scenario is simpler, as realistically only a win will do for Antonio Conte’s side, who are certainly in good form at home, winning four of their last five on their own patch and scoring 16 goals in the process.

History favours home team

This is a fixture that has favoured the home team over recent years, as there has not been an away winner in a North London derby in the Premier League since 2014.

Spurs are also unbeaten in six home matches against Arsenal across all competitions, winning each of the last two, while they have never lost to their near neighbours since moving into the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a trend we predict will continue this midweek.

Only Liverpool, Manchester City and Arsenal have won more home matches in the top-flight than Spurs this season, while the Gunners have lost seven times on the road, a run that includes recent defeats at Crystal Palace and Southampton.

Goals on the cards in North London

The North London derby is normally a fixture that provides goals, with five of the last six meetings across all competitions seeing both teams score. Spurs have netted three goals or more in four of their last five home fixtures, while Arsenal have netted a combined six across recent away trips to Chelsea and West Ham.

The reverse fixture between the two sides earlier in the season ended in a 3-1 victory for Arsenal and we are predicting Spurs to reverse that result at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Thursday.

Tottenham predicted lineup: Lloris; Romero, Dier, Davies; Royal, Bentancur, Hojbjerg, Sessegnon; Kulusevski, Son; Kane

Arsenal predicted lineup: Ramsdale; Soares, Holding, Magalhaes, Tomiyasu; Elneny, Xhaka; Saka, Odegaard, Martinelli; Nketiah


  • Six of the last seven Premier League meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net
  • Tottenham have won and both teams have scored in three of their last four Premier League home games

Spotlight Insights combine the best data and editorial expertise to give you an extra angle.

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