Vitoria Setubal vs Belenenses Predictions

• Under 2.5 goals have been produced in five of the last seven meetings between these two clubs.
• Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 56% of the hosts’ home matches.
• Vitoria Setubal have drawn seven of their 16 home games.

Vitoria Setubal played out a goalless draw away at Sporting CP on Tuesday and sit 1pt above the drop zone heading into the final game of the season. Belenenses secured their spot in the Primeira Liga with a 1-0 win at home against Gil Vicente and have no pressure on them this weekend.

Our prediction for under 2.5 goals to be scored in Sunday’s clash is backed up by plenty of statistics. Five of the duo’s last seven encounters in the Primeira Liga have produced under 2.5 goals, as have four of Belenenses’ and three of Setubal’s last five outings in the Primeira Liga. Under 2.5 goals have also been scored in 56% of the hosts’ home matches and 50% of the visitors’ away trips this season, so you can see why we’re expecting a low-scoring affair on Sunday.

As for a final scoreline, we’re predicting a 1-1 draw between the pair as three of their last five head to heads have ended in stalemates. The hots are without a win in their last 15 league games and with the pressure on this weekend, we doubt the hosts’ ability to claim all 3pts against Belenenses. The visitors have only won one of their last eight matches and don’t need to win on Sunday either, which is why a draw looks like the most likely result. Setubal score an average of 0.81 goals per home game and the visitors score an average of 0.88 goals on the road, so it’s unlikely we will see either side score more than once in Sunday’s clash.

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