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Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

Published on 6:44pm GMT 11 February 2026

  • 19:30
  • 13
  • Signal Iduna Park
Borussia Dortmund
Mainz
  • BBC iPlayer

Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5 Team Goals

Reason for tip

Dortmund have scored three times in five of their last six games, and they should prove too strong for a Mainz side who have won one of their 14 meetings with sides above the bottom six.

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Borussia Dortmund 4-1

Reason for tip

Mainz have conceded four goals in three of their 10 defeats this season, and they meet a Dortmund side who have netted three goals in each of their last three at home. The hosts have a perfect record at home to sides in the bottom-half, while Mainz have scored 13 times in 10 away trips.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Predictions

  • Dortmund have scored three goals in five of their last six Bundesliga games
  • Mainz have only won one of 14 meetings with sides above the bottom six
  • The visitors have conceded four goals in defeats to Leverkusen, Freiburg and Hamburg this term

Mainz backed to fall short

Four wins in five have helped Mainz climb up the Bundesliga standings, but the fifth-bottom visitors have recorded only five wins for the campaign and four of those have come against their fellow bottom-six sides.

Borussia Dortmund remain on Bayern Munich’s tail after winning five straight league games. Dortmund are winning games in chaotic fashion, with 3-2 victories over Heidenheim and St Pauli – the Bundesliga’s bottom two – in their previous two home outings.

Dortmund head into this clash having netted three goals in five of their last six league matches, while they’re averaging 2.2 goals per home game.

Opponents Mainz have struggled defensively against the Bundesliga’s best. They’ve already shipped four goals in defeats to Leverkusen and Freiburg, along with a 4-0 thumping at Hamburg. The in-form visitors can contribute to the goal tally here, but the hosts are backed to continue their impressive form in front of goal.

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