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Croatia vs Wales Predictions

Published on 7:45pm GMT 25 March 2023

  • 19:45
  • Expired
  • Stadion Poljud
Croatia
Wales
  • S4C
  • S4C Online
  • Viaplay Sports 1

Croatia to Win

Reason for tip

Wales are winless in eight games, a run which includes six defeats. Meanwhile, Croatia have never lost a EURO qualifier at home and that record doesn’t look like it’ll come under stress here.

8/13odds when tipped
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Croatia 2-1

Reason for tip

Croatia reached the World Cup semi-finals and have a talented team, but their backline could be tighter and it wouldn’t be a big surprise if they failed to keep a clean sheet.

15/2odds when tipped
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Croatia vs Wales Predictions

  • Wales have scored in eight of their last ten games on the road.
  • Croatia have kept a clean sheet in two of their last eight home matches.
  • Croatia are unbeaten in 12 of their last 13 matches.

Croatia’s road to Germany 2024 begins here

After their third-placed finish in the winter World Cup, Croatia finally return to action as they seek progression to EURO 2024. On paper, Croatia should be winning this group with ease but should the unthinkable happen, they’ve already done enough to secure a play-off spot through the Nations League, so Zlatko Dalic won’t be sweating about their ticket just yet.

Croatia are expected to win this group and for good reason, with Wales and Turkey the most likely sides battling it out for the second qualification berth. The Red Dragons will struggle to get off to a flier here though, as Croatia have never lost a home European qualifier in their entire history (W27, D8)!

That’s not to mention their unbeaten record across their last six meetings with the Welsh, inspiring further confidence of Croatian dominance here in Split. However, the hosts have conceded once in four of their last five home games and may need to grab a handful of goals to kick off this cycle with victory.

A new era for Wales

This is the first qualification cycle Wales will be taking part in since national hero Gareth Bale announced his retirement, so many will be watching on with keen interest as to just how well the new captain, Aaron Ramsey, can marshal his men.

It would take a huge resurgence for the Welsh to get anything here as they’re currently nursing an eight-game winless run which includes six defeats. As such, we’re sticking with Croatia to win this game at a short, yet fair price. However, we’re backing the Welsh to leave a mark with a smaller stakes bet going the way of a 2-1 home win in the correct score market.

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