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SF Giants Money Line
@ PIT Pirates
Reason for tip

SF has a huge advantage at SP as Martin Perez has been bad for several starts in a row, while Logan Webb seems to be settling back into form after a couple of rough outings. Pittsburgh also is dead last in the league in slugging vs RHP, so SF has a large platoon advantage too.

BOS Celtics -10.0 Point Spread
vs IND Pacers
Reason for tip

Boston has to set the tone at home in Game 1. They beat the Cavaliers fairly easily and after a 6 day layoff period they’ll have way more energy against the Pacers who just played 7 games against the Knicks. Boston won 3 of the 5 meetings during the regular season, two of them were by double digits. Let’s hope they set the tone in Game 1 with a big home win.

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BOS Celtics -10.0 Point Spread
vs IND Pacers
Reason for tip

Boston has to set the tone at home in Game 1. They beat the Cavaliers fairly easily and after a 6 day layoff period they’ll have way more energy against the Pacers who just played 7 games against the Knicks. Boston won 3 of the 5 meetings during the regular season, two of them were by double digits. Let’s hope they set the tone in Game 1 with a big home win.

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Dallas Mavericks to win
NBA Championship 2023/24
Reason for tip

The Mavericks’ 16-2 run down the stretch proved they can be a postseason force. They’ve got the best backcourt in the West, while defensive upgrades in February have made them really hard to stop. The Mavs have become very efficient offensively in the back-half of the campaign and in Luka Doncic they boast a near unstoppable offensive force, alongside NBA champion Kyrie Irving.

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Boston Celtics to win 4-3
vs Indiana Pacers
Reason for tip

Indiana are outsiders against the Celtics but they are brilliant offensively and that should trouble a Celtics side who are missing key man Kristaps Porzingis for at least part of the series. Boston lost Game 2 at home against understrength Miami and Cleveland sides, falling short when their opponents’ shooting clicked.

Boston went to seven games twice in last season’s playoffs, while Indiana have already won in six and seven games in this postseason, so back them to make this series competitive and force it to a Game 7 in Boston.

Dallas Mavericks to win 4-2
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Reason for tip

I like this matchup for the Mavericks, despite them being underdogs for the third-round running. They’ve looked stellar defensively against two strong offensive sides and with two of the top three players in the series on their roster, they should thrive going forward.

Dallas have won in six games in both their series so far. They’ve been very consistent, as they’re 4-0 following defeats and star Kyrie Irving is 14-0 in closeout games in his career, the best record in NBA history.

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Over 5.5 Games
Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers
Reason for tip

Indiana are outsiders against the Celtics but they are brilliant offensively and that should trouble a Celtics side who are missing key man Kristaps Porzingis for at least part of the series. Boston lost Game 2 at home against understrength Miami and Cleveland sides, falling short when their opponents’ shooting clicked. The Pacers move the ball well and just broke an NBA record for playoff shooting efficiency, so back them to take a couple of games at least.

Dallas Mavericks to win series
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Reason for tip

I like this matchup for the Mavericks, despite them being underdogs for the third-round running. They’ve looked stellar defensively against two strong offensive sides and with two of the top three players in the series on their roster, they should thrive going forward. This Minnesota team was built to stop the Nuggets, but it remains to be seen what answer they have for Dallas and their elite playmaking.

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